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Duel2 :: View topic - King of Primus Predictions Contest!
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Assurnasirbanipal
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Joined: Oct 21, 2002
Posts: 1488
Location: San Jose, CA

PostPosted: Thu Oct 18, 2012 3:03 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

1 Papa Bear
2 The Dark One
3 Manager
4 TMM
5 TUM
6 Crip
7 LHI
8 Mannequin
9 RR/TGG/Rill
10 Aragorn
11 The Consortium
12 Marmaduke
13 Otto
14 Assur/DeGotti
15 OAB
16 Floyd
17 Khisanth
18 The Mun
19 Buri
20 Zalgor Prigg
21 Madwand
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Mannequin
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Joined: Sep 15, 2002
Posts: 899
Location: East Wenatchee, WA

PostPosted: Thu Oct 18, 2012 7:28 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

1 - Papa Bear
2 - Dark One
3 - TMM
4 - Manager
5 - TUM
6 - Mannequin
7 - Crip
8 - LHI
9 - Consortium
10 - TGG/RR/Rillion
11 - Assur/DeGotti
12 - Aragorn
13 - Floyd
14 - Marma Duke
15 - OAB
16 - Otto X
17 - The Mun
18 - Zalgor Prigg
19 - Khisanth
20 - Buri
21 - Madwand

_________________
"Mannequin is my name. I'm the most wanted man on my island, except I'm not on my island, of course. More's the pity."
"Your island"? You mean Sunset?
"Yeah. It's mine".
"You're a madman!"
"Aye, I've come to the right place then."
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LHI
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Joined: Jun 20, 2002
Posts: 1318

PostPosted: Fri Oct 19, 2012 6:55 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

This is what it looks like to me... just assuming that I win all my matches (which probably wont happen):

LHI
TDO
TUM
Manager
Papa Bear
Crip
TMM
Manne
Floyd
OAB
Marma
Consortium
Otto X
Assur/Degoti
Aragorn
TGG/Rillion/RR
Buri
Mun-Mad
Khisanth
Zalgor

_________________
More TCs please!
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Flagg
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Joined: Jun 23, 2002
Posts: 423
Location: Findlay, Ohio

PostPosted: Sat Oct 20, 2012 2:57 am Reply with quoteBack to top

Crip wrote:
Flagg wrote:
1 TMM
2 Pappa Bear
3 Crip


And obviously Flagg has been stealing some of the Consortium's stuff.


I defer to his knowledge on most things... why stop now Wink I really, really could use 5 certs! Smile

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Flagg's Five (DM 42)
and any other Flagg branded team you may see.
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Madwand
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Joined: Dec 05, 2004
Posts: 501
Location: Tillsonburg, Ontario, Canada

PostPosted: Sat Oct 20, 2012 3:15 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

For those of you who didn't pick me to finish last, I must thank you. However, I must ask, What were you all thinking?

_________________
Madwand

DM 47 Fast Food
DM 100, 102 and 106 Various Teams
And several 'Blades' Guilds across Alastari.



Scars fade, wounds heal but glory lasts forever!


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Otto_X
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Joined: Jan 09, 2003
Posts: 620
Location: Moline, IL

PostPosted: Sat Oct 20, 2012 10:05 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

The Consortium wrote:

17 Khisanth
18 The Mun
19 Buri
20 Madwand
21 Zalgor

go ahead and laugh Laughing Laughing Rolling Eyes Laughing Laughing Rolling Eyes Laughing Laughing


The funny part is that Mun and Madwand were in the match for last place.

_________________
Technology (5), The Syndicate (12), 82nd Illinois (17), Seinfeld (19), Ottoman Empire (32), Bad Bread (33), Ottodrome (47, 84), Scrabble (65), Otto's Diner (81), et al.
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The Consortium
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Joined: Nov 23, 2002
Posts: 8836
Location: on the golf course, in the garden, reading, traveling, and now Consulting

PostPosted: Mon Oct 22, 2012 2:29 am Reply with quoteBack to top

Otto_X wrote:
The Consortium wrote:

17 Khisanth
18 The Mun
19 Buri
20 Madwand
21 Zalgor

go ahead and laugh Laughing Laughing Rolling Eyes Laughing Laughing Rolling Eyes Laughing Laughing


The funny part is that Mun and Madwand were in the match for last place.


That's what happens when one has to take a vote from 45 different votees

_________________
Ye Old Consortium Scribe & Crapmaster 2013, Crapgiver 2014
1000 ADM graduates (with 40+ manager IDs) including 105K+ fights and 68K+ wins plus 4 teams with 1000+ wins (Animal Farm DM11 @1518*; Bulldogs DM11 @ 1460; Lenpros DM30 @ 1424; Fandils @ 1336
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GreekGuy
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Joined: Aug 05, 2002
Posts: 737
Location: Tennessee Yeehaw!!!!

PostPosted: Mon Oct 22, 2012 10:44 am Reply with quoteBack to top

The three BOB members on our team are also very upset with your pick of 16th...sheesh no confidence at all in us..... I may or may not speak to you in Tempe..unless you pay for happy hour.
TGG
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The Consortium
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Posts: 8836
Location: on the golf course, in the garden, reading, traveling, and now Consulting

PostPosted: Tue Oct 23, 2012 2:22 am Reply with quoteBack to top

GreekGuy wrote:
The three BOB members on our team are also very upset with your pick of 16th...sheesh no confidence at all in us..... I may or may not speak to you in Tempe..unless you pay for happy hour.
TGG


We thought those ratings/predictions showed an iNCREASE in confidence in the BOBbies. Wink

And to show our commitment to that confidence, we Consortiumites will buy youBOBbies a drink during happy hour at The Suites.

_________________
Ye Old Consortium Scribe & Crapmaster 2013, Crapgiver 2014
1000 ADM graduates (with 40+ manager IDs) including 105K+ fights and 68K+ wins plus 4 teams with 1000+ wins (Animal Farm DM11 @1518*; Bulldogs DM11 @ 1460; Lenpros DM30 @ 1424; Fandils @ 1336
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Assurnasirbanipal
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Joined: Oct 21, 2002
Posts: 1488
Location: San Jose, CA

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 8:23 am Reply with quoteBack to top

Here is the status for the prediction contest. Number is total number of potential correct picks at this stage. Not sure how to do LHI's for the final 5, since he put the Mun and Madwand on the same line. Following the manager name is the # of picks right per bracket. Note that I'm scoring by 'CORRECT' picks and this may or may not reflect the final scores.

14 Mannequin (3, 2, 1, 3, 5)
13 The Dark One (3, 2, 2, 3, 3)
12 OAB (3, 2, 2, 2, 3)
12 Otis (3, 2, 2, 2, 3)
11 Otto (2, 1, 2, 3, 3)
11 Assur (3, 2, 1, 2, 3)
10 Howlin Wolf (3, 2, 1, 1, 3)
9 Marmaduke (3, 2, 0, 1, 3)
7 Consortium (1, 1, 1, 2, 2)
7 Gentleben (2, 1, 0, 1, 3)
7 LHI (3, 2, 0, 0, 2)
5 Flagg (1, 0, 2, 2, 0)
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The Consortium
ArchMaster Poster
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Joined: Nov 23, 2002
Posts: 8836
Location: on the golf course, in the garden, reading, traveling, and now Consulting

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:29 am Reply with quoteBack to top

Assurnasirbanipal wrote:
Here is the status for the prediction contest. Number is total number of potential correct picks at this stage. Not sure how to do LHI's for the final 5, since he put the Mun and Madwand on the same line. Following the manager name is the # of picks right per bracket. Note that I'm scoring by 'CORRECT' picks and this may or may not reflect the final scores.

14 Mannequin (3, 2, 1, 3, 5)
13 The Dark One (3, 2, 2, 3, 3)
12 OAB (3, 2, 2, 2, 3)
12 Otis (3, 2, 2, 2, 3)
11 Otto (2, 1, 2, 3, 3)
11 Assur (3, 2, 1, 2, 3)
10 Howlin Wolf (3, 2, 1, 1, 3)
9 Marmaduke (3, 2, 0, 1, 3)
7 Consortium (1, 1, 1, 2, 2)
7 Gentleben (2, 1, 0, 1, 3)
7 LHI (3, 2, 0, 0, 2)
5 Flagg (1, 0, 2, 2, 0)


Hah! We knew we would be blowin' everyone out!

_________________
Ye Old Consortium Scribe & Crapmaster 2013, Crapgiver 2014
1000 ADM graduates (with 40+ manager IDs) including 105K+ fights and 68K+ wins plus 4 teams with 1000+ wins (Animal Farm DM11 @1518*; Bulldogs DM11 @ 1460; Lenpros DM30 @ 1424; Fandils @ 1336
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LHI
Site Admin
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Joined: Jun 20, 2002
Posts: 1318

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 7:36 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

Assurnasirbanipal wrote:
Here is the status for the prediction contest. Number is total number of potential correct picks at this stage. Not sure how to do LHI's for the final 5, since he put the Mun and Madwand on the same line. Following the manager name is the # of picks right per bracket. Note that I'm scoring by 'CORRECT' picks and this may or may not reflect the final scores.

14 Mannequin (3, 2, 1, 3, 5)
13 The Dark One (3, 2, 2, 3, 3)
12 OAB (3, 2, 2, 2, 3)
12 Otis (3, 2, 2, 2, 3)
11 Otto (2, 1, 2, 3, 3)
11 Assur (3, 2, 1, 2, 3)
10 Howlin Wolf (3, 2, 1, 1, 3)
9 Marmaduke (3, 2, 0, 1, 3)
7 Consortium (1, 1, 1, 2, 2)
7 Gentleben (2, 1, 0, 1, 3)
7 LHI (3, 2, 0, 0, 2)
5 Flagg (1, 0, 2, 2, 0)


Mun and the line under would be Mad.

_________________
More TCs please!
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Assurnasirbanipal
ArchMaster Poster
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Joined: Oct 21, 2002
Posts: 1488
Location: San Jose, CA

PostPosted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 10:16 am Reply with quoteBack to top

Here is the current status of the prediction contest

Person Predicting / Bottom 5 / Correct Answers / Possible Score*
Assur / 6 / 7 / 25
Otto / 6 / 7 / 26
Mannequin / 2 / 8 / 27
OAB / 6 / 9 / 28
Dark One / 6 / 7 / 30
Otis / 6 / 6 / 34
Marmaduke / 6 / 5 / 36
Gentleben / 6 / 5 / 37
Howlin Wolf / 6 / 4 / 42
Flagg / 10 / 4 / 45
Consortium / 8 / 5 / 46
LHI / 8 / 3 / 49

Bottom 5 is the actual score the manager received for the bottom 5 picks
The correct answers is the number of possible 'correct' answers depending on next turn's results.
* Possible Score is the theoretical best possible score, but note that some of these possible scores are impossible because it would require KoP teams that are facing each other to both win or both lose.

There are likely errors in my calculations...
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Assurnasirbanipal
ArchMaster Poster
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Joined: Oct 21, 2002
Posts: 1488
Location: San Jose, CA

PostPosted: Sat Nov 17, 2012 10:21 am Reply with quoteBack to top

Most points lost on a single pick:
TGG/Rabbit/Rillion - 10-11 points - picked last by multiple managers
Papa Bear - 6-7 points - picked first by multiple managers
Dark One - 6-7 points - picked as low as 8th
Floyd - 6-7 points - picked as high as 9th
LHI - 6-7 points - picked as high as 10th
Aragorn - 6-7 points - pick as low as 16th

Spread on picks (actual placing):
TMM: 1-7 (1st place game)
Dark One: 1-8 (1st place game)
Manager: 2-6 (3rd place game)
LHI: 1-10 (3rd place game)
TUM: 1-6 (5th place game)
TGG/Rabbit/Rillion: 9-16 (5th place game)
Papa Bear: 1-5 (7th place game)
Crip: 2-9 (7th place game)
Mannequin: 4-8 (9th place game)
Aragorn: 8-16 (9th place game)
Assur: 9-15 (11th place game)
Otto: 10-16 (11th place game)
Consortium: 9-13 (13th place game)
OAB: 9-15 (13th place game)
Floyd:9-16 (15th place game)
Marmaduke: 10-16 (15th place game)
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Assurnasirbanipal
ArchMaster Poster
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Joined: Oct 21, 2002
Posts: 1488
Location: San Jose, CA

PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2012 7:03 am Reply with quoteBack to top

Final Standings (barring any errors I made)

Mgr - Score - Picks Correct
Dark One - 36 - 5
Otto - 37 - 4
Mannequin - 38 - 6
Assur - 38 - 4
OAB - 40 - 5
Otis - 50 - 4
Marmaduke - 52 - 4
Gentleben - 52 - 4
Howlin Wolf - 54 - 3
LHI - 58 - 2
Flagg - 60 - 2
Consortium - 62 - 3

Marmaduke had the highest opinion of himself of any manager, predicting himself to finish 6 spots above where he actually finished.

Assur is the biggest sandbagger, picking himself to finish 3 spots below where he actually finished.
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