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Duel2 :: View topic - Arena Replacement Recruit Population
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The Consortium
ArchMaster Poster
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Joined: Nov 23, 2002
Posts: 8774
Location: on the golf course, in the garden, reading, traveling, and now Consulting

PostPosted: Tue Jan 07, 2014 2:40 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

The last 296 arena replacements looked like this:
****AVG****
ST 9.52
CN 9.65
SZ 11.78
WT 9.75
WL 9.77
SP 9.86
DF 9.66

What a surprise! With that amount of data across 40+ arenas, the SZ factor just may not be an anomole.

The SZ distribution looked like:

3*** 2
4*** 4
5*** 5
6*** 12
7*** 17
8*** 14
9*** 35
10** 26
11** 27
12** 45
13** 23
14** 23
15** 12
16** 23
17** 21
18** 9
19** 4
20** 2
21** 2

Compare sizes this way:

very small vs very large (3,4,5 vs 18,20,21)
11 vs 8
small vs large
43 vs 53
slight small vs slight large
88 vs 58
middle (12)
45

Feel free to use this potentially worthless information as you see fit.

_________________
Ye Old Consortium Scribe & Crapmaster 2013, Crapgiver 2014
991 ADM graduates (with 40+ manager IDs) including 103K+ fights and 66K+ wins plus 4 teams with 1000+ wins (Animal Farm DM11 @1505*; Bulldogs DM11 @ 1446; Lenpros DM30 @ 1410; Fandils @ 1321
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Street_Legal
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Joined: Jul 29, 2002
Posts: 3362
Location: The Big D (etroit) area

PostPosted: Tue Jan 07, 2014 3:26 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

That's quite the bell curve there and pretty accurate. The SZ/avg. is near to the middle (12) and considering you start with 70 you'd expect the other numbers to be just under 10, 58/6 ((70-12)/6). Pretty interesting. Whelp I guess with such interesting things to note you won't be able to retire at 1000 graduates aw shucks too bad you'll have to keep managing!

Not sure what my average, or most common, is but seems I get more SZ 7 warriors than is normal.

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A wise and frugal government, which shall leave men free to regulate their own pursuits of industry and improvement, and shall not take from the mouth of labor the bread it has earned - this is the sum of good government.

Thomas Jefferson
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_Buri_
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Joined: Nov 07, 2010
Posts: 800
Location: Asgard

PostPosted: Tue Jan 07, 2014 4:48 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

It would be interesting to see a breakdown like this for the other stats. I think the bell curves would look similar, just placed lower than SZ. Think about WT, we see plenty of 3-4-5 WTs come across, but how many natural 21 WTs or WLs have you seen ( I can't recall ANY)?

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Buri, Crapmaster 2012
Aesir 003 & 100 & 102, The Club 010, The Blues 021, Omnitrix 030, Venture Bros 051
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The Consortium
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Joined: Nov 23, 2002
Posts: 8774
Location: on the golf course, in the garden, reading, traveling, and now Consulting

PostPosted: Wed Jan 08, 2014 8:39 am Reply with quoteBack to top

The curves for the other six stats do seem b ell-shaped, and do seem to imply that SZ is randomly rolled from 3-21, while the other stats may be rolled from 3-18. There were, however a few anomoles.
For example:
ST - no 19, 20, 21s
CN - 1 @ 19
WT - 1 @ 19
WL - 4 @19 and 1 @ 20
SP - 1 @ 19
DF - 1 @ 19 and 2 @ 21.
These are NOT errors in my data recording as is the most logical reason.

_________________
Ye Old Consortium Scribe & Crapmaster 2013, Crapgiver 2014
991 ADM graduates (with 40+ manager IDs) including 103K+ fights and 66K+ wins plus 4 teams with 1000+ wins (Animal Farm DM11 @1505*; Bulldogs DM11 @ 1446; Lenpros DM30 @ 1410; Fandils @ 1321
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