DUEL 2 NEWSLETTER

Date   : 01/12/2013    Duedate: 01/25/2013

WILLAF ARENA

DM-16    TURN-712

This Weeks Top Honors

THE DUELMASTER IS

GOLDPLATED
GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)
(16-5929) [24-13-0,102]

Chartered Recognition Leader   Unchartered Recognition Leader

TWILO TALON                    WELL DON
TALON'S TERRORS (547)          GARBAGE PAIL KIDS (620)
(16-5263) [12-0-0,124]         (16-6079) [4-0-0,48]

Popularity Leader              This Weeks Favorite

GOLD DUBLOON                   HORI BULL
GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)        PUNNY AMINALS (305)
(16-5953) [16-11-4,67]         (16-6076) [3-7-0,30]

THE CURRENT TOP TEAM

PUNNY AMINALS (305)

          TEAMS ON THE MOVE            TOP CAREER HONORS
Team Name                  Point Gain  Chartered Team
1. SHADOWMONGERS (618)         30
2. BLOOD ON THE TRACKS (609)   27      GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)
3. TALON'S TERRORS (547)       18      Unchartered Team
4. PUNNY AMINALS (305)          9
5. GARBAGE PAIL KIDS (620)      8      GARBAGE PAIL KIDS (620)

The Top Teams

Career Win-Loss Record           W   L  K    %  Win-Loss Record Last 3 Turns    W  L K
 1/ 1*GARBAGE PAIL KIDS (620)    4   0  0  100   1/ 1 PUNNY AMINALS (305)       8  7 0
 2/ 2 GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)  804 376 19 68.1   2/ 3 GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)   6  4 0
 3/ 3 DEVIL'S PLAYGROUND (612)  14  12  0 53.8   3/ 2 SHADOWMONGERS (618)       5  4 1
 4/ 5 SHADOWMONGERS (618)       22  20  1 52.4   4/ 4*GARBAGE PAIL KIDS (620)   3  0 0
 5/ 4 REALLY? (611)             45  44  8 50.6   5/ 5 REALLY? (611)             3  7 0
 6/ 6 PUNNY AMINALS (305)      857 %1097 26 43.9   6/ 0*BLOOD ON THE TRACK (609)  2  1 0
 7/ 7 TALON'S TERRORS (547)     14  19  0 42.4   7/ 6 TALON'S TERRORS (547)     2  5 0
 8/ 0*BLOOD ON THE TRACK (609)   3   9  0 25.0   8/ 7 DEVIL'S PLAYGROUND (612)  0  3 0

    '*'   Unchartered team                       '-'  Team did not fight this turn
   (###)  Avoid teams by their Team Id          ##/## This turn's/Last turn's rank

                                    TEAM SPOTLIGHT

      * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ *

                        ---===FREE BLADES REGIONAL NEWS===---

                                     Duelmasters
                                     -----------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): GLINDORA of CRIMSON DEATH (Verol, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): DIZZY GILLESPIE of BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 660): THE BEAKSTER of ARCANE ROYALTY (Destitute Noble, mgr.)
 DM  15 MALCORN (turn 709): LUCK DEVIL of THE DEVIL'S OWN (The Dark One, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): DEE NILE of PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  17 ALJAFIR (turn 702): WHIRLING FROGGY of KAOS FROGS (Grimm, mgr.)
 DM  19 ZUWAYZA (turn 703): SIR BLUEBELL of LORDS INC. (Lord Z., mgr.)
 DM  28 MORYA (turn 354): POSTAGE of EXPENSE ACCOUNT (Finance Manager, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 700): GRASSFIRE of CARDOW HUNTERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 351): DRONE-ON of BAD NEWS BEES (Stinger, mgr.)
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): PAM DEMONIUM of DEVIL ADVOCATES (The Dark One, mgr.)
 DM  33 NIATOLI ISLAND (turn 694): HULL SCRUBBER of SEA DOGS (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  35 MURSKA (turn 686): GRINCY of BAD GUYS (Mr. Bad Guy, mgr.)
 DM  43 VEASTIAN (turn 644): ARCHERS OF LOAF of UNC COLLEGE RADIO (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  45 STORMCROWE (turn 329): AURORA MARIE of NORTHERN LIGHTS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FROSTY of FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): 4-H of LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  56 ROCANIS (turn 576): LINKIN LOGGER of INCONSISTENT FURY (Banthius, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 561): TICK ... TOCK of UNNAMEABLES (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  61 JURINE (turn 543): GRAHAM CRACKER of SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  65 DAL SHANG (turn 537): LINDIS TYL SARRO of SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  73 ERINIKA (turn 259): FRISBEE of FOUND IN THE SAND (Assurnasirbanipal, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 498): SPIDERPIG of HOMER'S PETS (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  75 JADE MOUNTAIN (turn 493): KOGAN DJIAN of SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 484): NAKED LUNCH of SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
ADM 103 FREE BLADES (turn 601): NOREASTER of DIRT DEVILS (The Dark One, mgr.)

                                      Top Teams
                                      ---------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): CRIMSON DEATH (Verol, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 660): ARCANE ROYALTY (Destitute Noble, mgr.)
 DM  15 MALCORN (turn 709): CRUCIAL TAUNT (Daikkan, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  17 ALJAFIR (turn 702): MIDDLE WAY (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  19 ZUWAYZA (turn 703): THE MAGNIFICENT MAGS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  28 MORYA (turn 354): LORD OF DISCIPLINE (Longshot, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 700): METAL MINCERS (Oremaster, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 351): POSITION IS EMPTY
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): DEATH BY DESIGN (Bubba Ganoosh, mgr.)
 DM  33 NIATOLI ISLAND (turn 694): SEA DOGS (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  35 MURSKA (turn 686): HAPPY FUN TIME (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  43 VEASTIAN (turn 644): THE FAMILY (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  45 STORMCROWE (turn 329): DARQUE FORCES (Master Darque, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): LIFE IMAPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  56 ROCANIS (turn 576): INCONSISTENT FURY (Banthius, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 561): RED DOG GANG (Spot, mgr.)
 DM  61 JURINE (turn 543): SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  65 DAL SHANG (turn 537): SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  73 ERINIKA (turn 259): SUPER STARS (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 498): MEDAL OF HONOR (The Anarchist, mgr.)
 DM  75 JADE MOUNTAIN (turn 493): SAND DANCERSS (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 484): SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
ADM 103 FREE BLADES (turn 601): DIRT DEVILS et al (The Dark One, mgr.)

                                   Recent Graduates
                                  -----------------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): BLUE STREAK of BLUE MOON (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): DIZZY GILLESPIE of BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 660): THE BEAKSTER of ARCANE ROYALTY (Destitute Noble, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): DEE NILE of PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 700): GRASSFIRE of CARDOW HUNTERS (Jorja, mgr.)
                          MOTHIAS of MID EARTH (Visionist, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 350): BUMBLE of BAD NEWS BEES (Stinger, mgr.)
                               XANDAR of AVENGERS (Huckle Cat?, mgr.)
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): INSIDIOUS of DEATH BY DESIGN (Bubba Ganoosh, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FROSTY of FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
                   (turn 322): WILHELM SCREAM of OTTODROME TW (Otto X, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): MATH of LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 560): FENWRIST of RED DOG GANG (Spot, mgr.)
                          PRIME MINISTER of INGRATE WHITE NORTH (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 498): SPIDERPIG of HOMER'S PETS (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 484): NAKED LUNCH of SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)

                                 DUELMASTER'S COLUMN
                             Notes from the arena champ.

     This was a surprise.  Graduation?  Do I want this?  It will mean more
responsibility, and I don't think I want more responsibility.  I have all I can
handle here!
     If anybody really wants to know my graduation details, I will not deny you.
Just ask!

                                    Dee Nile

                                      SPY REPORT

     Oh, hi.  Its just little 'ol Debby Tonte.  Thought I'd check out WILLAF to see 
what's new.  MVP award for MOONSINGER?  SHADOWMONGERS' proud of her after beating 
TINY DANCER and getting 23 points.  Talk about yer major upsets!  TINY DANCER's match 
with MOONSINGER cost him a loss of 11 points!  Was that a tear I saw in GOLDPLATED's 
eye, as it took over Duelmastership?  And wasn't DEE NILE fit to be tied!  Who was 
the wiseguy that said WILLAF's Duelmaster was paying for drinks at The Dripping 
Blade?  Don't look at me!   
     I gotta admit I haven't been in "deep con caves" with any spies.  Really, I just 
wing this stuff.  The warriors of SHADOWMONGERS must be getting lonely.  They were 
the most avoided team.  Do you guys know something that I don't?  I don't know what 
GOLDEN GLADIATORS' been doing.  They certainly haven't been accepting many fights 
from SHADOWMONGERS, that's fer sher.  Can PUNNY AMINALS' HORI BULL be more popular 
than me?  He was challenged the most, but is that really the same?  HIPY HIPPY SHAKE 
must not be a good enough fighter to get in fair fights.  He challenged HORI BULL.  
14 is a big difference.  (Well, that's what they tell me.) I thought HIPY HIPPY SHAKE 
showed great skill and promise when he was subdued by HORI BULL.  All right, so I 
slept through it!  Big deal!   
     Man, all these warriors dying and killing each other!  Don't you guys ever give 
it a break?  Fight, fight, fight.  Is that all you guys can do?   
     I really didn't, you know, study when I was a kid.  Who would've guessed I'd be 
a famous Spyreporter?  I gotta leave.  WILLAF is like such a dump, and you guys smell 
too much!  Remember you guys, ease up sometimes!  Chill out!  Later, Debby Tonte  

DUELMASTER                     W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 GOLDPLATED 5929              24  13  0   102       GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)

CHALLENGER CHAMPIONS           W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 TWILO TALON 5263             12   0  0   124       TALON'S TERRORS (547)
-SLIDE TO HELL 6002           10   0  0   122       DEVIL'S PLAYGROUND (612)

CHAMPIONS                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 CHICKEN WHISPERER 5991       10   8  0    93       REALLY? (611)

CHAMPIONS                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 GOLD DUBLOON 5953            16  11  4    67       GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)

CHALLENGER ADEPTS              W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 EVEBRINGER 6066               7   5  1    66       SHADOWMONGERS (618)
 GOLDEN GLOBE 6047            11   5  1    58       GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)

ADEPTS                         W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 MOONSINGER 6064               8   4  0    56       SHADOWMONGERS (618)
 WELL DON 6079                 4   0  0    48       GARBAGE PAIL KIDS (620)
 TINY DANCER 5994             10   8  1    43       REALLY? (611)
 NIGHTSTALKER 6068             6   6  0    37       SHADOWMONGERS (618)

CHALLENGER INITIATES           W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 GOLDEN FLASH 6061             9   4  0    33       GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)
-TEETER-SLAUGHTER 6004         3   0  0    33       DEVIL'S PLAYGROUND (612)
 HORI BULL 6076                3   7  0    30       PUNNY AMINALS (305)
-STABBING WESTWARD 5988        1   1  0    30       TALON'S TERRORS (547)
 BLACK INDEKKER 6069           5   8  1    25       PUNNY AMINALS (305)
 56TH AND WABASHA 6042         2   0  0    24       BLOOD ON THE TRACKS (609)

INITIATES                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 WHIP SAWYER 6126              2   1  0    21       PUNNY AMINALS (305)
 HIPY HIPPY SHAKE 6056         5   2  1    18       REALLY? (611)
 BRUNO PONCE JONES 6055        4   4  0    16       REALLY? (611)
 JACK OF HEARTS 5963           1   1  0    10       BLOOD ON THE TRACKS (609)
 RAZORED SWINGS 6110           1   4  0     7       DEVIL'S PLAYGROUND (612)
 SOFA'YAM 6128                 1   1  0     4       PUNNY AMINALS (305)

'-' denotes a warrior who did not fight this turn.

THE DEAD                W  L K TEAM NAME            SLAIN BY              TURN Revenge?
DA1 6040                0  1 0 BLOOD ON THE TRA 609 BANDIT PRINCE         712  NONE
HEART OF GOLD 6054      4  7 0 GOLDEN GLADIATOR 362 EVEBRINGER 6066       711   
TULANE RHOADES 5975     7 19 2 PUNNY AMINALS 305    GOLD DUBLOON 5953     709   
DA1 6131                0  1 0 REALLY? 611          WURM KIN              712  NONE
BLAH #1 6129            0  1 0 TALON'S TERRORS 547  MOUNTAIN TROLL        712  NONE
BLAH #2 6130            0  1 0 TALON'S TERRORS 547  BLACK ORC             712  NONE

                                     PERSONAL ADS

     Hot Flash!  The Face-to-Face Tourney will be in the 18th, 19th, and 20th of this
     month.  Get your strategies in by the 17th, please and thank you.

And that is what I get for "bragging" about my 4-0 Christmas present last round.  For
New Years, you all gave me a compensating 0-2 with a death.  (Sigh)  Some days one
has to think hard to consider the glass half full. -- Midas (looking for his
depression pills)

Congrats to Punny Aminal's Lord Protector and Duelmaster Dee Nile.  Hubba hubba! --
Midas

Well Don -- Lofty challenge, fine strategy, and terrific win!  Did I have to be the
loser?  Kudos. -- Golden Flash

Everbringer and The Shadowmongers -- Do I rant at you, or thank you?  I really,
really hate losing a warrior to death.  But, Heart Of Gold was a 13-3-18-16-16-15-3
mode basher just waiting for the fateful day.  You had shown your mettle against him
once before, and this challenge to you was his final fight.  Salute. -- Midas

Golden Flash -- Thank goodness I remembered my sunglasses. -- Well Don

Razored Swings -- Us pirates know about stuff like that.  We can handle it. -- Black
Indekker
P.S.  Ah, sometimes we can handle it.  Don't want to curse myself here.

Moonsinger -- I don't see how you can be so wretchedly devastating when the moon is
NEW.  It's totally NOT THERE. -- Hori Bull the Disgruntled
P.S.  Unless you're trying to bring it back?

Oh, beggars.  Silly fellows. -- Whip Sawyer

Same for embezzlers. -- Sofa'yam

                                  LAST WEEK'S FIGHTS

DA1 was butchered by BANDIT PRINCE in a 1 minute bloody Dark Arena fight.
BLAH #2 was slaughtered by BLACK ORC in a 1 minute Dark Arena battle.
DA1 was easily killed by WURM KIN in a popular 1 minute gruesome Dark Arena match.
BLAH #1 was butchered by MOUNTAIN TROLL in a 1 minute Dark Arena contest.
GOLDEN GLOBE was defeated by EVEBRINGER in a exciting 1 minute bloody Bloodfeud fight.
WELL DON bested NIGHTSTALKER in a 2 minute Challenge duel.
CHICKEN WHISPERER was overpowered by TWILO TALON in a 1 minute Challenge struggle.
HIPY HIPPY SHAKE slimly lost to HORI BULL in a popular 3 minute Challenge competition.
DEE NILE was unbelievably bested by GOLDPLATED in a 5 minute expert's Title duel.
GOLD DUBLOON lost to KUNG-FU MASTER in a popular 1 minute duel.
TINY DANCER was overpowered by MOONSINGER in a 1 minute uneven match.
GOLDEN FLASH beat WHIP SAWYER in a 2 minute veteran vs. novice fight.
BRUNO PONCE JONES was unbelievably bested by BLACK INDEKKER in a 1 minute conflict.
56TH AND WABASHA demolished SOFA'YAM in a 1 minute mismatched match.
JACK OF HEARTS beat RAZORED SWINGS in a 1 minute amateur's conflict.

                                    BATTLE REPORT

             MOST POPULAR                        RECORD DURING THE LAST 10 TURNS     
|FIGHTING STYLE               FIGHTS        FIGHTING STYLE     W -   L -  K   PERCENT|
|STRIKING ATTACK                  5         WALL OF STEEL      4 -   2 -  0      67  |
|SLASHING ATTACK                  4         TOTAL PARRY       16 -  10 -  0      62  |
|TOTAL PARRY                      3         PARRY-STRIKE       9 -   7 -  1      56  |
|LUNGING ATTACK                   3         STRIKING ATTACK   25 -  23 -  0      52  |
|AIMED BLOW                       2         BASHING ATTACK    14 -  14 -  1      50  |
|PARRY-STRIKE                     2         SLASHING ATTACK   10 -  11 -  1      48  |
|BASHING ATTACK                   2         AIMED BLOW         4 -   8 -  0      33  |
|PARRY-RIPOSTE                    2         PARRY-RIPOSTE      5 -  11 -  0      31  |
|WALL OF STEEL                    2         LUNGING ATTACK     6 -  14 -  0      30  |
|PARRY-LUNGE                      0         PARRY-LUNGE        0 -   0 -  0       0  |

Turn 712 was great if you     Not so great if you used      The fighting styles of the
used the fighting styles:     the fighting styles:          top eleven warriors are:

AIMED BLOW         2 -  0     STRIKING ATTACK    1 -  4         4  STRIKING ATTACK
PARRY-STRIKE       2 -  0     PARRY-LUNGE        0 -  0         3  SLASHING ATTACK
TOTAL PARRY        2 -  1     PARRY-RIPOSTE      0 -  2         1  TOTAL PARRY    
SLASHING ATTACK    2 -  2     LUNGING ATTACK     0 -  3         1  BASHING ATTACK 
BASHING ATTACK     1 -  1     WALL OF STEEL      0 -  2         1  PARRY-STRIKE   
                                                                1  PARRY-RIPOSTE  

                               TOP WARRIOR OF EACH STYLE

FIGHTING STYLE   WARRIOR                     W   L  K PNTS TEAM NAME                  
TOTAL PARRY      GOLDPLATED 5929            24  13  0  102 GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)
SLASHING ATTACK  TWILO TALON 5263           12   0  0  124 TALON'S TERRORS (547)

FIGHTING STYLE   WARRIOR                     W   L  K PNTS TEAM NAME                  
STRIKING ATTACK  CHICKEN WHISPERER 5991     10   8  0   93 REALLY? (611)
BASHING ATTACK   GOLD DUBLOON 5953          16  11  4   67 GOLDEN GLADIATORS (362)
PARRY-STRIKE     WELL DON 6079               4   0  0   48 GARBAGE PAIL KIDS (620)
Note: Warriors have a winning record and are an Adept or Above.

The overall popularity leader is GOLD DUBLOON 5953.  The most popular warrior this 
turn was HORI BULL 6076.  The ten other most popular fighters were WELL DON 6079, 
GOLDEN GLOBE 6047, GOLDPLATED 5929, HIPY HIPPY SHAKE 6056, GOLD DUBLOON 5953, 
MOONSINGER 6064, BRUNO PONCE JONES 6055, JACK OF HEARTS 5963, EVEBRINGER 6066, and 
NIGHTSTALKER 6068.

The least popular fighter this week was RAZORED SWINGS 6110.  The other ten least 
popular fighters were SOFA'YAM 6128, GOLDEN FLASH 6061, TINY DANCER 5994, CHICKEN 
WHISPERER 5991, BLAH #1 6129, BLAH #2 6130, DA1 6040, DA1 6131, 56TH AND WABASHA 
6042, and BLACK INDEKKER 6069.

The following warriors have traveled to AD after fighting this turn:

DEE NILE (16-5935) PUNNY AMINALS (305)

                           AVOIDS, BLOODFEUDS, & CHALLENGES

                                       by Pagan

     Ever wonder how the whole challenge/avoid thing works?
     Who you fight depends on exactly how it works.  We will never know exactly how it 
works unless we can get a look at the coding for the program, but this is how I think 
it works:

The Situation:
     The system allows a warrior to make two separate challenges and two distinct 
avoids.
     Avoids are distinct in that they MUST indicate a specific team to be avoided, so 
a "double avoid" indicates a single team twice, which by default means you are 
avoiding one team.  In this case, the second avoid is a duplicate and therefore a 
waste of an avoid.
     Challenges are to specific warriors.  You have a first challenge, and then you 
have a second challenge.

The Process:
     First the computer removes all Dark Arena challengers from the list of available 
warriors.
     Second, the computer checks for WHO fights WHO by going though all TVs and 
bloodfeuds, which are 100% sure to go through except in four instances:
     1. the warrior challenged does not fight,
     2. the warrior challenged is also making a bloodfeud or TV challenge and that 
challenge has already been assigned,
     3. the warrior has already been assigned to a Dark Arena fight,
     4. that warrior has declared your team to be one of his warrior's avoids, 
reducing your challenge to 50%.
     Third, the computer assesses all the regular first-challenge warriors and assigns 
fights.  All other challenges are at 100% chance of success except in a few instances:  
warrior challenged is going to the DA, warrior challenged is involved in a previously 
assigned challenge, warrior challenged is not running this turn, or warrior challenged 
has avoided your team at 50% chance to avoid.
     Fourth, the computer assesses and assigns all secondary challenges of warriors 
not so far assigned for bloodfeuds and TVs.
     Fifth, the computer assesses and assigns all the regular second challenges.
     Sixth, the computer assigns random matchups in each available class starting with 
the highest class first.
     Seventh, the computer finds the remaining warriors that have successfully avoided 
all first and second challenges and/or who also did not get randomly assigned, AND for 
whom no more available warriors remain in their class for random pairing.  All of 
these warriors get RSI-generated warriors to fight based on their class.
     So, if I'm right and avoids reduce the chance for a challenge to 50%, then:
     In the absence of an avoid
          single challenge = 100% success
          double challenge = 100% success, then an additional 100% success
     Where an avoid is involved
          single challenge vs avoid = 50% success
          double challenge vs avoid = 75% (chance to avoid is 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25; 1 - 
0.25 = 75% chance to succeed

     Bloodfeuds and TVs may increase the percentage chance of success above 100%, or 
they may not.  I feel that their increased ability to get through is based solely on 
the way the computer assigns challenges.  They are first, so they are most likely to 
go through.  The 100% chance for a challenge to succeed is 100% if it's a TV bloodfeud 
and you are the first one to get assigned a fight that day because you are also the 
Duelmaster.  But after that the chances start to diminish rapidly.
     The run-through for second challenges theoretically means your challenge should 
be 100% but it's not the case if you are the LAST guy the computer goes to for finding 
challenges.
     If you don't double challenge, you significantly lower your chance to get your 
challenge through.  The second challenge is not equal to the first challenge.

Pagan