DUEL 2 NEWSLETTER

Date   : 01/09/2013    Duedate: 01/22/2013

LAPUR ARENA

DM-29    TURN-701

This Weeks Top Honors

THE DUELMASTER IS

STEEL SHARPENER
METAL MINCERS (256)
(29-5748) [17-13-0,119]

Chartered Recognition Leader   Unchartered Recognition Leader

STEEL SHARPENER                POSITION IS EMPTY
METAL MINCERS (256)            
(29-5748) [17-13-0,119]        

Popularity Leader              This Weeks Favorite

WINTERSONG                     STEEL SHARPENER
CARDOW HUNTERS (359)           METAL MINCERS (256)
(29-5783) [16-12-0,97]         (29-5748) [17-13-0,119]

THE CURRENT TOP TEAM

CARDOW HUNTERS (359)

          TEAMS ON THE MOVE            TOP CAREER HONORS
Team Name                  Point Gain  Chartered Team
1. MID EARTH (223)             19
2. METAL MINCERS (256)         18      METAL MINCERS (256)
3. CARDOW HUNTERS (359)         8      Unchartered Team
4. CLAN CROW (456)              0
5. EVIL EATER BUNNIES (482)     0      CHAMPIONS (451)

The Top Teams

Career Win-Loss Record           W   L  K    %  Win-Loss Record Last 3 Turns    W  L K
 1- 2*EVIL EATER BUNNIES (482)   3   1  0 75.0   1/ 2 CARDOW HUNTERS (359)      7  8 0
 2/ 3 METAL MINCERS (256)      717 478 20 60.0   2/ 4 BLACK SAMURAI (166)       6  3 1
 3/ 4 MID EARTH (223)          701 603 31 53.8   3/ 1 METAL MINCERS (256)       6  4 0
 4/ 5 BLACK SAMURAI (166)      405 393 23 50.8   4/ 6 CLAN CROW (456)           4  4 1
 5/ 6 CLAN CROW (456)          185 187 14 49.7   5/ 5 MID EARTH (223)           4  4 0
 6/ 8 CARDOW HUNTERS (359)     689 824 14 45.5   6- 7*EVIL EATER BUNNIES (482)  1  0 0
 7- 9 ARCANE PHARMACY (401)     12  24  0 33.3   7- 8 ARCANE PHARMACY (401)     0  2 0

    '*'   Unchartered team                       '-'  Team did not fight this turn
   (###)  Avoid teams by their Team Id          ##/## This turn's/Last turn's rank

                                    TEAM SPOTLIGHT

      * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ *

                        ---===FREE BLADES REGIONAL NEWS===---

                                     Duelmasters
                                     -----------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): GLINDORA of CRIMSON DEATH (Verol, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): DIZZY GILLESPIE of BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 660): THE BEAKSTER of ARCANE ROYALTY (Destitute Noble, mgr.)
 DM  15 MALCORN (turn 709): LUCK DEVIL of THE DEVIL'S OWN (The Dark One, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): DEE NILE of PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  17 ALJAFIR (turn 702): WHIRLING FROGGY of KAOS FROGS (Grimm, mgr.)
 DM  19 ZUWAYZA (turn 703): SIR BLUEBELL of LORDS INC. (Lord Z., mgr.)
 DM  28 MORYA (turn 354): POSTAGE of EXPENSE ACCOUNT (Finance Manager, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 700): GRASSFIRE of CARDOW HUNTERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 351): DRONE-ON of BAD NEWS BEES (Stinger, mgr.)
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): PAM DEMONIUM of DEVIL ADVOCATES (The Dark One, mgr.)
 DM  33 NIATOLI ISLAND (turn 694): HULL SCRUBBER of SEA DOGS (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  35 MURSKA (turn 686): GRINCY of BAD GUYS (Mr. Bad Guy, mgr.)
 DM  43 VEASTIAN (turn 644): ARCHERS OF LOAF of UNC COLLEGE RADIO (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  45 STORMCROWE (turn 329): AURORA MARIE of NORTHERN LIGHTS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FROSTY of FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): 4-H of LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  56 ROCANIS (turn 576): LINKIN LOGGER of INCONSISTENT FURY (Banthius, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 561): TICK ... TOCK of UNNAMEABLES (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  61 JURINE (turn 543): GRAHAM CRACKER of SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  65 DAL SHANG (turn 537): LINDIS TYL SARRO of SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  73 ERINIKA (turn 259): FRISBEE of FOUND IN THE SAND (Assurnasirbanipal, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 498): SPIDERPIG of HOMER'S PETS (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  75 JADE MOUNTAIN (turn 493): KOGAN DJIAN of SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 484): NAKED LUNCH of SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
ADM 103 FREE BLADES (turn 601): NOREASTER of DIRT DEVILS (The Dark One, mgr.)

                                      Top Teams
                                      ---------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): CRIMSON DEATH (Verol, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 660): ARCANE ROYALTY (Destitute Noble, mgr.)
 DM  15 MALCORN (turn 709): CRUCIAL TAUNT (Daikkan, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  17 ALJAFIR (turn 702): MIDDLE WAY (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  19 ZUWAYZA (turn 703): THE MAGNIFICENT MAGS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  28 MORYA (turn 354): LORD OF DISCIPLINE (Longshot, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 700): METAL MINCERS (Oremaster, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 351): POSITION IS EMPTY
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): DEATH BY DESIGN (Bubba Ganoosh, mgr.)
 DM  33 NIATOLI ISLAND (turn 694): SEA DOGS (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  35 MURSKA (turn 686): HAPPY FUN TIME (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  43 VEASTIAN (turn 644): THE FAMILY (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  45 STORMCROWE (turn 329): DARQUE FORCES (Master Darque, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): LIFE IMAPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  56 ROCANIS (turn 576): INCONSISTENT FURY (Banthius, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 561): RED DOG GANG (Spot, mgr.)
 DM  61 JURINE (turn 543): SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  65 DAL SHANG (turn 537): SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  73 ERINIKA (turn 259): SUPER STARS (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 498): MEDAL OF HONOR (The Anarchist, mgr.)
 DM  75 JADE MOUNTAIN (turn 493): SAND DANCERSS (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 484): SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
ADM 103 FREE BLADES (turn 601): DIRT DEVILS et al (The Dark One, mgr.)

                                   Recent Graduates
                                  -----------------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): BLUE STREAK of BLUE MOON (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): DIZZY GILLESPIE of BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 660): THE BEAKSTER of ARCANE ROYALTY (Destitute Noble, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): DEE NILE of PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 700): GRASSFIRE of CARDOW HUNTERS (Jorja, mgr.)
                          MOTHIAS of MID EARTH (Visionist, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 350): BUMBLE of BAD NEWS BEES (Stinger, mgr.)
                               XANDAR of AVENGERS (Huckle Cat?, mgr.)
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): INSIDIOUS of DEATH BY DESIGN (Bubba Ganoosh, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FROSTY of FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
                   (turn 322): WILHELM SCREAM of OTTODROME TW (Otto X, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): MATH of LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 560): FENWRIST of RED DOG GANG (Spot, mgr.)
                          PRIME MINISTER of INGRATE WHITE NORTH (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 498): SPIDERPIG of HOMER'S PETS (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 484): NAKED LUNCH of SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)

                                 DUELMASTER'S COLUMN
                             Notes from the arena champ.

     Sticks and stones, Steel Sharpener!  And likewise to your teammates.  Where are
the gallant borgs of yesteryear?  I remember listening with awe and admiration to the
exploits of the Lead Lambaster with a Cardow Hunter, Redfox, in strange lands beyond
this world.  I suspect that you are not the material of which such heroes are made.
     With or without tourney fights, that was a hard match for you, Naowyn.  A good
effort on your part.  I salute you.

                                     Grassfire

                                      SPY REPORT

     I can't believe the violence in LAPUR!  I still haven't told Mom I'm writing 
Spyreports.  She'd have a cow!  Well, here we go...  Too bad, METAL MINCERS, but 
CARDOW HUNTERS was just too good to be stopped.  MVP award for MOTHIAS?  MID EARTH's 
proud of him after beating DOUBLE MCDIPPER and getting 13 points.  Talk about yer 
major upsets!  DOUBLE MCDIPPER's match with MOTHIAS cost him a loss of 9 points!  
STEEL SHARPENER thinks its 17-13-0 and studly character is good enough to face up to 
the Duelmaster.  Any bets?  And I was just getting used to the ex-Duelmaster's habit 
of...(!)  Oh well, welcome STEEL SHARPENER.  Aren't METAL MINCERS proud.  (Oh, my.) 
Is the Duelmaster really being a real snob to his teammates?  Don't ask me!   
     AAARRGH!!!  I HATE SPYREPORTING!!!  Sorry.  I just had to say it.  MID EARTH was 
the most avoided team.  Is a 701-603-31 record really that scary?  I don't know what 
METAL MINCERS' been doing.  They certainly haven't been accepting many fights from 
MID EARTH, that's fer sher.  Can BLACK SAMURAI's CHISAHARU be more popular than me?  
He was challenged the most, but is that really the same?   
     Challenges, revenges, Bloodfeuds.  All LAPUR ever talks about is fighting!  Me, 
I'm more laid back.  Fight, fight, fight.  Is that all you guys can do?   
     I really didn't, you know, study when I was a kid.  Who would've guessed I'd be 
a famous Spyreporter?  I gotta leave.  LAPUR is like such a dump, and you guys smell 
too much!  Its been really albendranius!  Later, guys-- Debby Tonte  

DUELMASTER                     W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 STEEL SHARPENER 5748         17  13  0   119       METAL MINCERS (256)

CHALLENGER CHAMPIONS           W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
-THE CLEAR 4632                8   2  0   115       ARCANE PHARMACY (401)
 WINTERSONG 5783              16  12  0    97       CARDOW HUNTERS (359)
 PLUTONIUM PUNCH 5669         22   8  0    92       METAL MINCERS (256)
 DOUBLE MCDIPPER 5767         11   7  1    92       CLAN CROW (456)

CHAMPIONS                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 WINDFLOWER 5772              19  11  0    86       CARDOW HUNTERS (359)

CHAMPIONS                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
-CAIRRAIG AMADAN 5518         21  15  0    84       CLAN CROW (456)
-LEAD LANCER 5768             10   4  0    83       METAL MINCERS (256)
-ANSHIN 4861                  20  15  0    77       BLACK SAMURAI (166)
-SPIN MCDUECAN 5728           13  10  2    72       CLAN CROW (456)
 NAOWYN 5811                   7   8  0    69       MID EARTH (223)

ADEPTS                         W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
-THE WHITE RABBIT 5815         3   1  0    52       EVIL EATER BUNNIES (482)
 CHISAHARU 5180               14   9  0    51       BLACK SAMURAI (166)
 QUALM 5810                   12   3  0    47       MID EARTH (223)
-THE CREAM 4662                3   2  0    46       ARCANE PHARMACY (401)
 SNOWFLAKE 5781                6  23  0    42       CARDOW HUNTERS (359)
 STEEL SQUEEZER 5808           6   9  0    39       METAL MINCERS (256)
 TUNGSTEN TWISTER 5840         4   4  0    37       METAL MINCERS (256)

CHALLENGER INITIATES           W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 PERILOUS QUINN 5869           2   3  0    29       CLAN CROW (456)
 SINISTER FINN 5862            3   4  0    27       CLAN CROW (456)
-HEAVENLY BLUE 4714            1   3  0    26       ARCANE PHARMACY (401)

INITIATES                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 USHIRO 5873                   3   4  1    14       BLACK SAMURAI (166)
 SEISUI 5881                   3   3  0    12       BLACK SAMURAI (166)

'-' denotes a warrior who did not fight this turn.

THE DEAD                W  L K TEAM NAME            SLAIN BY              TURN Revenge?
CLAYBANK 5699          18 30 0 CARDOW HUNTERS 359   DOUBLE MCDIPPER 5767  700   
RAINSINGER 5894         0  1 0 CARDOW HUNTERS 359   EMBEZZLING SCRIB      701  NONE

                                     PERSONAL ADS

     Hot Flash!  The Face-to-Face Tourney will be in the 18th, 19th, and 20th of this
     month.  Get your strategies in by the 17th, please and thank you.

Wintersong -- In the spirit of the new winter, I sharpened up your song.  I hope it
didn't hurt too much! -- Steel Sharpener

Mothias -- May a demented and disease-filled moth fly up your nose, or any other
orifice, you dirty, rotten Mid Earth winner.  Pshaw! -- Plutonium Punch

1-1 ain't be gud, ye borgs.  Gotts git wif it!  Aye. -- Oremaster

Now, now, Hon.  Let's try to remain calm.  That old heart of yours, you know. -- Ora

Ora -- Just ignore that Sharpener.  He's trying to get attention. -- Grassfire

Our congratulations to Mothias. -- Jorja and the Cardow Hunters

Steel Sharpener -- May your blade be so cold that it shatters under use. --
Wintersong

Double McDipper -- Could I at least have chocolate syrup on that? -- Ghost of
Claybank
P.S.  Alas, my unspectacular perforance has caught up with me.  So it goes.

Ahlan Nabandal, Veteran Mercenary.  Works for me. -- Windflower

Qualm -- Oh, yeah, I had one.  Or two! -- Snowflake
P.S.  I wouldn't have minded a skill.

Plutonium Punch -- Sorry for the beat down, but I really needed to hurry up and get
on my way. -- Mothias

Snowflake -- Once again you are a master tutor.  A thousand thank yous, my dear. --
Qualm

Grassfire -- Arrrghhh!  You again!!  The gods hate me!!! -- Naowyn

All -- Mothias, 9(+1)-9-12-15-15-4-21 Aimed Blow, Master Attack and Expert Parry.  In
21 arena fights he learned 39 skills and raised 1 stat.  His favorites are Dagger,
which he had never used, Low/Moderate fighting rhythm and Initiative skills, even
though he had only learned 6 of them.  He informed me that he has decided to take a
break from arena competition and do some traveling. -- Visionist

All -- Due to budgetary issues I am forced to idle operations at the Mid Earth guild
here in Lapur for awhile.  I consider Lapur my 2nd home, so we will return to the
arena as soon as the situation improves. -- Visionist

     Good luck to you.  You will be missed.

                                  LAST WEEK'S FIGHTS

STEEL SHARPENER viciously subdued GRASSFIRE in a 2 minute Challenge Title fight.
TUNGSTEN TWISTER was unbelievably bested by CHISAHARU in a 8 minute Challenge match.
SINISTER FINN was bested by SNOWFLAKE in a popular 1 minute Challenge contest.
PERILOUS QUINN overpowered USHIRO in a 1 minute mismatched Challenge match.
DOUBLE MCDIPPER was devastated by MOTHIAS in a 1 minute one-sided duel.
WINTERSONG devastated PENNILESS LORD in a 2 minute bloody mismatched match.
NAOWYN was overpowered by PLUTONIUM PUNCH in a 2 minute uneven melee.
WINDFLOWER viciously subdued STRIKE BREAKER in a 2 minute gruesome duel.
QUALM overpowered BOND SERVANT in a slow 10 minute gory uneven duel.
STEEL SQUEEZER overpowered SEISUI in a 1 minute one-sided melee.
RAINSINGER was assassinated by EMBEZZLING SCRIBE in a 1 minute bloody one-sided match.

                                    BATTLE REPORT

             MOST POPULAR                        RECORD DURING THE LAST 10 TURNS     
|FIGHTING STYLE               FIGHTS        FIGHTING STYLE     W -   L -  K   PERCENT|
|AIMED BLOW                       4         AIMED BLOW        27 -  13 -  0      68  |
|TOTAL PARRY                      3         SLASHING ATTACK   12 -   7 -  2      63  |
|BASHING ATTACK                   3         TOTAL PARRY       19 -  13 -  0      59  |
|STRIKING ATTACK                  3         PARRY-LUNGE        2 -   2 -  0      50  |
|WALL OF STEEL                    2         LUNGING ATTACK     7 -   7 -  1      50  |
|SLASHING ATTACK                  1         WALL OF STEEL     11 -  13 -  0      46  |
|PARRY-STRIKE                     1         STRIKING ATTACK   20 -  24 -  0      45  |
|PARRY-RIPOSTE                    1         PARRY-RIPOSTE      5 -   7 -  1      42  |
|PARRY-LUNGE                      0         BASHING ATTACK     9 -  14 -  1      39  |
|LUNGING ATTACK                   0         PARRY-STRIKE       3 -   8 -  0      27  |

Turn 701 was great if you     Not so great if you used      The fighting styles of the
used the fighting styles:     the fighting styles:          top eleven warriors are:

SLASHING ATTACK    1 -  0     STRIKING ATTACK    1 -  2         3  TOTAL PARRY    
TOTAL PARRY        3 -  0     PARRY-LUNGE        0 -  0         2  SLASHING ATTACK
BASHING ATTACK     2 -  1     PARRY-STRIKE       0 -  1         2  WALL OF STEEL  
AIMED BLOW         2 -  2     PARRY-RIPOSTE      0 -  1         2  AIMED BLOW     
WALL OF STEEL      1 -  1     LUNGING ATTACK     0 -  0         1  PARRY-RIPOSTE  
                                                                1  PARRY-STRIKE   

                               TOP WARRIOR OF EACH STYLE

FIGHTING STYLE   WARRIOR                     W   L  K PNTS TEAM NAME                  
SLASHING ATTACK  STEEL SHARPENER 5748       17  13  0  119 METAL MINCERS (256)

FIGHTING STYLE   WARRIOR                     W   L  K PNTS TEAM NAME                  
WALL OF STEEL    WINTERSONG 5783            16  12  0   97 CARDOW HUNTERS (359)
TOTAL PARRY      PLUTONIUM PUNCH 5669       22   8  0   92 METAL MINCERS (256)
PARRY-RIPOSTE    DOUBLE MCDIPPER 5767       11   7  1   92 CLAN CROW (456)
AIMED BLOW       WINDFLOWER 5772            19  11  0   86 CARDOW HUNTERS (359)
Note: Warriors have a winning record and are an Adept or Above.

The overall popularity leader is WINTERSONG 5783.  The most popular warrior this turn 
was STEEL SHARPENER 5748.  The ten other most popular fighters were SNOWFLAKE 5781, 
WINDFLOWER 5772, WINTERSONG 5783, SINISTER FINN 5862, NAOWYN 5811, PERILOUS QUINN 
5869, PLUTONIUM PUNCH 5669, STEEL SQUEEZER 5808, USHIRO 5873, and DOUBLE MCDIPPER 
5767.

The least popular fighter this week was QUALM 5810.  The other ten least popular 
fighters were CHISAHARU 5180, TUNGSTEN TWISTER 5840, RAINSINGER 5894, SEISUI 5881, 
DOUBLE MCDIPPER 5767, USHIRO 5873, STEEL SQUEEZER 5808, PLUTONIUM PUNCH 5669, 
PERILOUS QUINN 5869, and NAOWYN 5811.

The following warriors will travel to AD after next turn:

STEEL SHARPENER (29-5748) METAL MINCERS (256)
PLUTONIUM PUNCH (29-5669) METAL MINCERS (256)

The following warriors have traveled to AD after fighting this turn:

GRASSFIRE (29-5715) CARDOW HUNTERS (359)
MOTHIAS (29-5780) MID EARTH (223)

                           AVOIDS, BLOODFEUDS, & CHALLENGES

                                       by Pagan

     Ever wonder how the whole challenge/avoid thing works?
     Who you fight depends on exactly how it works.  We will never know exactly how it 
works unless we can get a look at the coding for the program, but this is how I think 
it works:

The Situation:
     The system allows a warrior to make two separate challenges and two distinct 
avoids.
     Avoids are distinct in that they MUST indicate a specific team to be avoided, so 
a "double avoid" indicates a single team twice, which by default means you are 
avoiding one team.  In this case, the second avoid is a duplicate and therefore a 
waste of an avoid.
     Challenges are to specific warriors.  You have a first challenge, and then you 
have a second challenge.

The Process:
     First the computer removes all Dark Arena challengers from the list of available 
warriors.
     Second, the computer checks for WHO fights WHO by going though all TVs and 
bloodfeuds, which are 100% sure to go through except in four instances:
     1. the warrior challenged does not fight,
     2. the warrior challenged is also making a bloodfeud or TV challenge and that 
challenge has already been assigned,
     3. the warrior has already been assigned to a Dark Arena fight,
     4. that warrior has declared your team to be one of his warrior's avoids, 
reducing your challenge to 50%.
     Third, the computer assesses all the regular first-challenge warriors and assigns 
fights.  All other challenges are at 100% chance of success except in a few instances:  
warrior challenged is going to the DA, warrior challenged is involved in a previously 
assigned challenge, warrior challenged is not running this turn, or warrior challenged 
has avoided your team at 50% chance to avoid.
     Fourth, the computer assesses and assigns all secondary challenges of warriors 
not so far assigned for bloodfeuds and TVs.
     Fifth, the computer assesses and assigns all the regular second challenges.
     Sixth, the computer assigns random matchups in each available class starting with 
the highest class first.
     Seventh, the computer finds the remaining warriors that have successfully avoided 
all first and second challenges and/or who also did not get randomly assigned, AND for 
whom no more available warriors remain in their class for random pairing.  All of 
these warriors get RSI-generated warriors to fight based on their class.
     So, if I'm right and avoids reduce the chance for a challenge to 50%, then:
     In the absence of an avoid
          single challenge = 100% success
          double challenge = 100% success, then an additional 100% success
     Where an avoid is involved
          single challenge vs avoid = 50% success
          double challenge vs avoid = 75% (chance to avoid is 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25; 1 - 
0.25 = 75% chance to succeed

     Bloodfeuds and TVs may increase the percentage chance of success above 100%, or 
they may not.  I feel that their increased ability to get through is based solely on 
the way the computer assigns challenges.  They are first, so they are most likely to 
go through.  The 100% chance for a challenge to succeed is 100% if it's a TV bloodfeud 
and you are the first one to get assigned a fight that day because you are also the 
Duelmaster.  But after that the chances start to diminish rapidly.
     The run-through for second challenges theoretically means your challenge should 
be 100% but it's not the case if you are the LAST guy the computer goes to for finding 
challenges.
     If you don't double challenge, you significantly lower your chance to get your 
challenge through.  The second challenge is not equal to the first challenge.

Pagan