DUEL 2 NEWSLETTER

Date   : 01/19/2013    Duedate: 02/15/2013

SNOWBOUND ARENA

DM-50    TURN-311

This Weeks Top Honors

THE DUELMASTER IS

MOLDAR NAY
MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)
(50-3731) [18-17-1,114]

Chartered Recognition Leader   Unchartered Recognition Leader

4-H                            THUNDER CHICKEN
LIFE IMPACTS (395)             SCISSOR ME TIMBER (407)
(50-3670) [42-3-0,151]         (50-3783) [4-2-1,36]

Popularity Leader              This Weeks Favorite

MOLDAR NAY                     OWN GOAL
MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)             BASH BROS HOCKEY (405)
(50-3731) [18-17-1,114]        (50-3763) [2-0-0,20]

THE CURRENT TOP TEAM

LIFE IMPACTS (395)

          TEAMS ON THE MOVE            TOP CAREER HONORS
Team Name                  Point Gain  Chartered Team
1. MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)          57
2. BASH BROS HOCKEY (405)      30      LIFE IMPACTS (395)
3. KILL OR BE KILT (408)       26      Unchartered Team
4. PUBLIC ENEMY (24)           16
5. OPEN SESAME (199)            0      BASH BROS HOCKEY (405)

The Top Teams

Career Win-Loss Record           W   L  K    %  Win-Loss Record Last 3 Turns    W  L K
 1/ 1 LIFE IMPACTS (395)       301 117  6 72.0   1/ 1 LIFE IMPACTS (395)       10  5 1
 2/ 2*BASH BROS HOCKEY (405)     4   2  0 66.7   2/ 2 PUBLIC ENEMY (24)         7  7 1
 3- 3 OPEN SESAME (199)        377 233 24 61.8   3/ 5 MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)        7  8 0
 4/ 4*KILL OR BE KILT (408)      6   4  2 60.0   4- 3 OPEN SESAME (199)         6  3 0
 5/ 6 PUBLIC ENEMY (24)        125 102  4 55.1   5/ 4*KILL OR BE KILT (408)     6  4 2
 6/ 5*SCISSOR ME TIMBER (407)   15  13  5 53.6   6/ 6*BASH BROS HOCKEY (405)    4  2 0
 7/ 7 MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)       284 410  8 40.9   7/ 7*SCISSOR ME TIMBER (407)   3  5 0

    '*'   Unchartered team                       '-'  Team did not fight this turn
   (###)  Avoid teams by their Team Id          ##/## This turn's/Last turn's rank

                                    TEAM SPOTLIGHT

       * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ *

                              ---===SLOW ARENA NEWS===---

                                     Duelmasters
                                     -----------
 DM   8 ARKERS (turn 356): PORT-A-FORTRESS of THE CHOSEN (Longshot, mgr.)
 DM  28 MORYA (turn 354): POSTAGE of EXPENSE ACCOUNT (Finance Manager, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 352): DRONE-ON of BAD NEWS BEES (Stinger, mgr.)
 DM  39 XOCHITHLAN (turn 306): MASSEY of KIWI CONNECTION (The Mun, mgr.)
 DM  45 STORMCROWE (turn 329): AURORA MARIE of NORTHERN LIGHTS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 324): SOUTH SPOON of OTTODROME TW (Otto X, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): 4-H of LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  52 FRATSFA (turn 304): GLOATING GARDENIA of FLOWER GIRLS (Lady Fern, mgr.)
 DM  54 TROCAR (turn 289): DIAN WEI of ASIAN INVASION (Pec Killer, mgr.)
 DM  59 ILLIS (turn 282): JOHN WAYNE of TALL TALES (A-Sop, mgr.)
 DM  71 KYR'TERR (turn 258): HALIFAX of BOMBS AWAY (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  72 DRAGONHEAD (turn 258): LONDON BEEFEATER of MEAT YOUR MAKER (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  73 ERINIKA (turn 259): FRISBEE of FOUND IN THE SAND (Assurnasirbanipal, mgr.)
 DM  83 TELORINTHE (turn 74): CONTRACT BRIDGE of OLDIES (Coach, mgr.)
 DM 106 CRYSALIS (turn 256): THE REFEREE of AVID FANS (Crip, mgr.)

                                      Top Teams
                                      ---------
 DM   8 ARKERS (turn 356): MIDDLE WAY 11 (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  28 MORYA (turn 354): LORD OF DISCIPLINE (Longshot, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 352): BAD NEWS BEES (Stinger, mgr.)
 DM  39 XOCHITHLAN (turn 306): KIWI CONNECTION (The Mun, mgr.)
 DM  45 STORMCROWE (turn 329): DARQUE FORCES (Master Darque, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 324): OBG! (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  52 FRATSFA (turn 304): BASH BROS ROAD SIGN (Assurnasirbanipal, mgr.)
 DM  54 TROCAR (turn 289): ASIAN INVASION (Pec Killer, mgr.)
 DM  59 ILLIS (turn 282): IMPROVED ILLUSION (Phantasm, mgr.)
 DM  71 KYR'TERR (turn 258): THE ZOO (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  72 DRAGONHEAD (turn 258): MONGREL HORDE (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  73 ERINIKA (turn 256): SUPER STARS (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  83 TELORINTHE (turn 74): POSITION IS EMPTY
 DM 106 CRYSALIS (turn 256): SPARF! et al (Crip, mgr.)

                                   Recent Graduates
                                   ----------------
 DM  39 XOCHITHLAN (turn 305): WOXTON of KIWI CONNECTION (The Mun, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 324): LATKA of SECOND BANANAS (Mannequin, mgr.)
                   (turn 323): FROSTY of FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): MATH of LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  52 FRATSFA (turn 303): JASMIN of JADE WARRIORS (Brandon Massingale, mgr.)
                            LI KUI of WAH CHING (Pec Killer, mgr.)
 DM  59 ILLIS (turn 281): KING MIDAS of TALL TALES (A-Sop, mgr.)
              (turn 280): INUYASHA of IMPROVED ILLUSION (Phantasm, mgr.)

                                 DUELMASTER'S COLUMN
                             Notes from the arena champ.

     That's nineteen?  I didn't graduate?  Math did?  Then, despite my jealousy, let
me tell you about him.
     17-5-8-15-17-16(+1)-7 Basher
     bonused great damage - norm endu
     1.60 skill learn rate
     20-12-2 arena
     seemed to like most weapons
     9-58-8 (1 kill) WH
     1-13-2 (1 kill) WF
     3-15-6 QS (despite SZ and DF)
     10-44-2 MA
     2-4-1 DA
     0-2-0 FI
     adexes Init, Rip, Attack, Decise
     FAVES: ME, Vhi/Vlo, learns riposte
There you have the retired numbers man.  Next time, maybe we can talk about me.
          4-H, DMXIX

                                      SPY REPORT

     Oh, hi.  Its just little 'ol Debby Tonte.  Thought I'd check out SNOWBOUND to 
see what's new.  MVP award for NEFARA?  PUBLIC ENEMY's proud of her after beating 
SPACE MONKEY and getting 19 points.  Talk about yer big time losers!  SWAMP DONKEY 
got smashed by CIRCLE K, and lost 10 points!  And I was just getting used to the 
ex-Duelmaster's habit of...(!)  Oh well, welcome MOLDAR NAY.  Aren't MIDDLE WAY 6 
proud.  (Oh, my.) I hear the top team insists all their warriors get nine hours 
sleep.  They want photogenic fighters for PR photos.   
     I gotta admit I haven't been in "deep con caves" with any spies.  Really, I just 
wing this stuff.  OPEN SESAME was the most avoided team.  Is a 377-233-24 record 
really that scary?  Is there some deep dark secret why LIFE IMPACTS' been avoiding 
OPEN SESAME so much?  Or is it just that they're too scared?  Can SCISSOR ME TIMBER's 
SWAMP DONKEY be more popular than me?  He was challenged the most, but is that really 
the same?   
     Man, all these warriors dying and killing each other!  Don't you guys ever give 
it a break?  What if they had a fight and nobody showed up?  I'd be out of a job, 
that's what!!!   
     Remember, blood on a purple robe may stain.  Soak it in cold water, and hand 
wash.  I know how much you like reading this stuff, but I really should stop.  
Remember you guys, ease up sometimes!  Chill out!  Later, Debby Tonte  

DUELMASTER                     W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 MOLDAR NAY 3731              18  17  1   114       MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)

CHALLENGER CHAMPIONS           W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
-THE COUNT 1860               18  13  0   171       OPEN SESAME (199)
 4-H 3670                     42   3  0   151       LIFE IMPACTS (395)

CHAMPIONS                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
-C IS FOR COOKIE 3636          6   4  0    90       OPEN SESAME (199)
 QUALITY 3770                 10   3  0    82       LIFE IMPACTS (395)

CHALLENGER ADEPTS              W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
-THE BEATLES 3635              7   3  0    63       OPEN SESAME (199)
 GARUTH HOLM 3769              7   6  0    62       MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)
 SHOBART TEEGUE 3737          13  19  0    58       MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)

ADEPTS                         W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 HEART OF GLASS 3777           8   5  0    55       PUBLIC ENEMY (24)
 NEFARA 3785                   5   3  1    50       PUBLIC ENEMY (24)
-BERT & ERNIE 3648             3   2  0    49       OPEN SESAME (199)
 CIRCLE K 3768                 9   5  0    42       LIFE IMPACTS (395)
-REMARKABLE WORD 3669          3   0  0    41       OPEN SESAME (199)
 THUNDER CHICKEN 3783          4   2  1    36       SCISSOR ME TIMBER (407)

CHALLENGER INITIATES           W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 JENNA KUUL 3761               6  12  0    32       MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)
 SWAMP DONKEY 3784             5   1  0    29       SCISSOR ME TIMBER (407)
 SAXAPHONE 3778                5   6  1    27       LIFE IMPACTS (395)
 BLIND REF 3765                2   0  0    25       BASH BROS HOCKEY (405)

INITIATES                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 WILLIAM WALLACE 3788          2   0  0    22       KILL OR BE KILT (408)

INITIATES                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 PATTY MURPHY 3790             2   0  1    20       KILL OR BE KILT (408)
 OWN GOAL 3763                 2   0  0    20       BASH BROS HOCKEY (405)
 ZURISDAY 3779                 4   6  0    18       PUBLIC ENEMY (24)
 ROB ROY 3791                  1   1  1    14       KILL OR BE KILT (408)
 MISSING TEETH 3767            0   2  0    12       BASH BROS HOCKEY (405)
 SPECTRA 3800                  2   2  0    10       PUBLIC ENEMY (24)
 TENACIOUS TURTLE 3798         2   2  0    10       SCISSOR ME TIMBER (407)
 NEWLIN OHM 3801               2   1  0     9       MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)
 CONNOR MCLEOD 3789            1   1  0     6       KILL OR BE KILT (408)
 ROBERT THE BRUCE 3787         0   2  0     2       KILL OR BE KILT (408)

'-' denotes a warrior who did not fight this turn.

THE DEAD                W  L K TEAM NAME            SLAIN BY              TURN Revenge?
CONVICTED THIEF         0  0 0                      ROB ROY 3791          311  NONE
PERSISTENT BEGGA        0  0 0                      PATTY MURPHY 3790     311  NONE
SPACE MONKEY 3782       3  3 3 SCISSOR ME TIMBE 407 NEFARA 3785           311   

                                     PERSONAL ADS

Public Energy -- I apologizaruth, the e deeply for the death of Synergy.  It was not
intentional.  I was 10-10-5 RA Decise. -- Math

     I'm not sure what you meant to say, so I didn't mess with it.

We'un all done bea sorry.  Yup. -- Smitty and The Life Impacts

Nefara -- That was a great fight and you proved to be the great fighter.  Salute. --
Saxaphone (playin' the blues)

C is For Cookie -- That is what I made for Baking I my 2nd year in 4-H.  Like now, I
ate 'em all up. -- 4-H

Garuth -- I finally got going.  I thought you had me there. -- Quality

Space Monkey -- See no evil, hear no evil, spank the monkey. -- Circle K

Kill or be Kilt -- Enjoyed the fights.  Expecting many more. -- Assur (Bash Bros
Hockey)

Our congratulations to the bloodthirsty Math.  We always knew that math could be a
killer. -- Jorja and those who walk the Middle Way

Circle K -- Well, of course!  The floor was dirty, and there you were, so... I
mopped. -- Garuth Holm

Swamp Donkey -- That was just SOOO embarrassing. -- Jenna Kuul

Thunder Chicken -- Intimidating. -- Newlin Ohm

The Count -- I suppose you were counting on that. -- Moldar Nay

The Beatles -- Euwgh!  Bugs! -- Shobart Teegue

Quality -- And that wraps up an oh-fer turn for us.  Bummer. -- Garuth Holm

                                  LAST WEEK'S FIGHTS

CIRCLE K outwaited SWAMP DONKEY in a unpopular 37 minute Challenge fight.
TENACIOUS TURTLE was viciously subdued by SAXAPHONE in a 3 minute Challenge battle.
4-H was viciously subdued by MOLDAR NAY in a popular 2 minute master's Title brawl.
MATH demolished CONVICTED ASSASSIN in a action packed 1 minute mismatched competition.
QUALITY devastated CONVICTED ASSASSIN in a crowd pleasing 1 minute mismatched match.
SHOBART TEEGUE was defeated by HEART OF GLASS in a 2 minute melee.
GARUTH HOLM vanquished CAPTURED ORC in a action packed 1 minute gory uneven duel.
JENNA KUUL won victory over MISSING TEETH in a popular 1 minute duel.
THUNDER CHICKEN overpowered ZURISDAY in a 1 minute uneven match.
NEFARA executed SPACE MONKEY in a 2 minute brutal one-sided fight.
BLIND REF devastated SPECTRA in a 1 minute mismatched conflict.
OWN GOAL subdued CONNOR MCLEOD in a popular 4 minute amateur's match.
ROBERT THE BRUCE was overcome by NEWLIN OHM in a 3 minute novice's conflict.
WILLIAM WALLACE vanquished CONVICTED THIEF in a 1 minute mismatched bout.
PATTY MURPHY slaughtered PERSISTENT BEGGAR in a 1 minute one-sided fray.
ROB ROY butchered CONVICTED THIEF in a 1 minute mismatched brawl.

                                    BATTLE REPORT

             MOST POPULAR                        RECORD DURING THE LAST 10 TURNS     
|FIGHTING STYLE               FIGHTS        FIGHTING STYLE     W -   L -  K   PERCENT|
|BASHING ATTACK                   5         PARRY-LUNGE        6 -   1 -  0      86  |
|AIMED BLOW                       4         TOTAL PARRY       26 -  10 -  0      72  |
|TOTAL PARRY                      4         SLASHING ATTACK   10 -   4 -  5      71  |
|LUNGING ATTACK                   3         PARRY-RIPOSTE      6 -   4 -  1      60  |
|SLASHING ATTACK                  3         AIMED BLOW        16 -  12 -  0      57  |
|WALL OF STEEL                    3         BASHING ATTACK    20 -  16 -  3      56  |
|PARRY-RIPOSTE                    2         PARRY-STRIKE       2 -   2 -  0      50  |
|STRIKING ATTACK                  2         STRIKING ATTACK   18 -  19 -  0      49  |
|PARRY-LUNGE                      0         WALL OF STEEL      7 -   9 -  2      44  |
|PARRY-STRIKE                     0         LUNGING ATTACK    11 -  20 -  0      35  |

Turn 311 was great if you     Not so great if you used      The fighting styles of the
used the fighting styles:     the fighting styles:          top eleven warriors are:

BASHING ATTACK     4 -  1     PARRY-LUNGE        0 -  0         2  BASHING ATTACK 
LUNGING ATTACK     2 -  1     PARRY-STRIKE       0 -  0         2  LUNGING ATTACK 
SLASHING ATTACK    2 -  1                                       2  TOTAL PARRY    
WALL OF STEEL      2 -  1                                       2  AIMED BLOW     
AIMED BLOW         2 -  2                                       1  WALL OF STEEL  
PARRY-RIPOSTE      1 -  1                                       1  STRIKING ATTACK
STRIKING ATTACK    1 -  1                                       1  PARRY-RIPOSTE  
TOTAL PARRY        2 -  2     

                               TOP WARRIOR OF EACH STYLE

FIGHTING STYLE   WARRIOR                     W   L  K PNTS TEAM NAME                  
BASHING ATTACK   MOLDAR NAY 3731            18  17  1  114 MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)
TOTAL PARRY      4-H 3670                   42   3  0  151 LIFE IMPACTS (395)
AIMED BLOW       QUALITY 3770               10   3  0   82 LIFE IMPACTS (395)
STRIKING ATTACK  GARUTH HOLM 3769            7   6  0   62 MIDDLE WAY 6 (368)
PARRY-RIPOSTE    NEFARA 3785                 5   3  1   50 PUBLIC ENEMY (24)
Note: Warriors have a winning record and are an Adept or Above.

The overall popularity leader is MOLDAR NAY 3731.  The most popular warrior this turn 
was OWN GOAL 3763.  The ten other most popular fighters were MOLDAR NAY 3731, JENNA 
KUUL 3761, SAXAPHONE 3778, SHOBART TEEGUE 3737, GARUTH HOLM 3769, NEFARA 3785, NEWLIN 
OHM 3801, QUALITY 3770, SPACE MONKEY 3782, and TENACIOUS TURTLE 3798.

The least popular fighter this week was SWAMP DONKEY 3784.  The other ten least 
popular fighters were CIRCLE K 3768, CONNOR MCLEOD 3789, SPECTRA 3800, ZURISDAY 3779, 
PATTY MURPHY 3790, WILLIAM WALLACE 3788, THUNDER CHICKEN 3783, 4-H 3670, ROB ROY 
3791, and ROBERT THE BRUCE 3787.

The following warriors have traveled to AD after fighting this turn:

MATH (50-3735) LIFE IMPACTS (395)

                           AVOIDS, BLOODFEUDS, & CHALLENGES

                                       by Pagan

     Ever wonder how the whole challenge/avoid thing works?
     Who you fight depends on exactly how it works.  We will never know exactly how it 
works unless we can get a look at the coding for the program, but this is how I think 
it works:

The Situation:
     The system allows a warrior to make two separate challenges and two distinct 
avoids.
     Avoids are distinct in that they MUST indicate a specific team to be avoided, so 
a "double avoid" indicates a single team twice, which by default means you are 
avoiding one team.  In this case, the second avoid is a duplicate and therefore a 
waste of an avoid.
     Challenges are to specific warriors.  You have a first challenge, and then you 
have a second challenge.

The Process:
     First the computer removes all Dark Arena challengers from the list of available 
warriors.
     Second, the computer checks for WHO fights WHO by going though all TVs and 
bloodfeuds, which are 100% sure to go through except in four instances:
     1. the warrior challenged does not fight,
     2. the warrior challenged is also making a bloodfeud or TV challenge and that 
challenge has already been assigned,
     3. the warrior has already been assigned to a Dark Arena fight,
     4. that warrior has declared your team to be one of his warrior's avoids, 
reducing your challenge to 50%.
     Third, the computer assesses all the regular first-challenge warriors and assigns 
fights.  All other challenges are at 100% chance of success except in a few instances:  
warrior challenged is going to the DA, warrior challenged is involved in a previously 
assigned challenge, warrior challenged is not running this turn, or warrior challenged 
has avoided your team at 50% chance to avoid.
     Fourth, the computer assesses and assigns all secondary challenges of warriors 
not so far assigned for bloodfeuds and TVs.
     Fifth, the computer assesses and assigns all the regular second challenges.
     Sixth, the computer assigns random matchups in each available class starting with 
the highest class first.
     Seventh, the computer finds the remaining warriors that have successfully avoided 
all first and second challenges and/or who also did not get randomly assigned, AND for 
whom no more available warriors remain in their class for random pairing.  All of 
these warriors get RSI-generated warriors to fight based on their class.
     So, if I'm right and avoids reduce the chance for a challenge to 50%, then:
     In the absence of an avoid
          single challenge = 100% success
          double challenge = 100% success, then an additional 100% success
     Where an avoid is involved
          single challenge vs avoid = 50% success
          double challenge vs avoid = 75% (chance to avoid is 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25; 1 - 
0.25 = 75% chance to succeed

     Bloodfeuds and TVs may increase the percentage chance of success above 100%, or 
they may not.  I feel that their increased ability to get through is based solely on 
the way the computer assigns challenges.  They are first, so they are most likely to 
go through.  The 100% chance for a challenge to succeed is 100% if it's a TV bloodfeud 
and you are the first one to get assigned a fight that day because you are also the 
Duelmaster.  But after that the chances start to diminish rapidly.
     The run-through for second challenges theoretically means your challenge should 
be 100% but it's not the case if you are the LAST guy the computer goes to for finding 
challenges.
     If you don't double challenge, you significantly lower your chance to get your 
challenge through.  The second challenge is not equal to the first challenge.

Pagan