DUEL 2 NEWSLETTER

Date   : 01/17/2013    Duedate: 01/30/2013

ROCANIS ARENA

DM-56    TURN-577

This Weeks Top Honors

THE DUELMASTER IS

LINKIN LOGGER
INCONSISTENT FURY (20)
(56-4272) [24-8-2,148]

Chartered Recognition Leader   Unchartered Recognition Leader

LINKIN LOGGER                  POSITION IS EMPTY
INCONSISTENT FURY (20)         
(56-4272) [24-8-2,148]         

Popularity Leader              This Weeks Favorite

MOE FROSTTOOTH                 KULGAN
INCONSISTENT FURY (20)         MEN OF STEEL (131)
(56-4287) [17-10-2,106]        (56-4268) [11-24-2,59]

THE CURRENT TOP TEAM

INCONSISTENT FURY (20)

          TEAMS ON THE MOVE            TOP CAREER HONORS
Team Name                  Point Gain  Chartered Team
1. INCONSISTENT FURY (20)      42
2. SERPENTS' HOLD (450)        41      INCONSISTENT FURY (20)
3. MEN OF STEEL (131)          26      Unchartered Team
4. THEM (433)                  22
5. TREXTRAS (449)               0      KAT'S PAW (10)

The Top Teams

Career Win-Loss Record           W   L  K    %  Win-Loss Record Last 3 Turns    W  L K
 1/ 1 INCONSISTENT FURY (20)   598 432 47 58.1   1/ 1 INCONSISTENT FURY (20)   10  0 1
 2/ 2 MIDDLE WAY 20 (435)      300 286  6 51.2   2/ 3 SERPENTS' HOLD (450)      8  7 0
 3/ 3 THEM (433)               107 103  9 51.0   3/ 2 MIDDLE WAY 20 (435)       5 10 0
 4- 4*TREXTRAS (449)             5   5  0 50.0   4/ 6 THEM (433)                3  5 0
 5/ 6 SERPENTS' HOLD (450)      23  28  0 45.1   5/ 4 MEN OF STEEL (131)        3  9 0
 6/ 5 MEN OF STEEL (131)       161 201 26 44.5   6- 5*TREXTRAS (449)            1  0 0

    '*'   Unchartered team                       '-'  Team did not fight this turn
   (###)  Avoid teams by their Team Id          ##/## This turn's/Last turn's rank

                                    TEAM SPOTLIGHT

      * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ * }%|[-----+O+-----]|%{ *

                        ---===FREE BLADES REGIONAL NEWS===---

                                     Duelmasters
                                     -----------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): GLINDORA of CRIMSON DEATH (Verol, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): DIZZY GILLESPIE of BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 661): GOLDENEYE of CARDOW HUNTERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  15 MALCORN (turn 709): LUCK DEVIL of THE DEVIL'S OWN (The Dark One, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): DEE NILE of PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  17 ALJAFIR (turn 703): WHIRLING FROGGY of KAOS FROGS (Grimm, mgr.)
 DM  19 ZUWAYZA (turn 704): SIR BLUEBELL of LORDS INC. (Lord Z., mgr.)
 DM  28 MORYA (turn 354): POSTAGE of EXPENSE ACCOUNT (Finance Manager, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 701): STEEL SHARPENER of METAL MINCERS (Oremaster, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 352): DRONE-ON of BAD NEWS BEES (Stinger, mgr.)
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): PAM DEMONIUM of DEVIL ADVOCATES (The Dark One, mgr.)
 DM  33 NIATOLI ISLAND (turn 694): HULL SCRUBBER of SEA DOGS (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  35 MURSKA (turn 686): GRINCY of BAD GUYS (Mr. Bad Guy, mgr.)
 DM  43 VEASTIAN (turn 643): ARCHERS OF LOAF of UNC COLLEGE RADIO (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  45 STORMCROWE (turn 329): AURORA MARIE of NORTHERN LIGHTS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FROSTY of FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): 4-H of LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  56 ROCANIS (turn 576): LINKIN LOGGER of INCONSISTENT FURY (Banthius, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 561): TICK ... TOCK of UNNAMEABLES (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  61 JURINE (turn 543): GRAHAM CRACKER of SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  65 DAL SHANG (turn 538): THE BLUE PILL of THE MOTHERSHIP CE (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  73 ERINIKA (turn 259): FRISBEE of FOUND IN THE SAND (Assurnasirbanipal, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 499): MARISAN TEN MEDARIN of SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  75 JADE MOUNTAIN (turn 493): KOGAN DJIAN of SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 485): TIGER JONSALMIN of SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
ADM 103 FREE BLADES (turn 602): NOREASTER of DIRT DEVILS (The Dark One, mgr.)

                                      Top Teams
                                      ---------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): CRIMSON DEATH (Verol, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 661): ARCANE ROYALTY (Destitute Noble, mgr.)
 DM  15 MALCORN (turn 709): CRUCIAL TAUNT (Daikkan, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  17 ALJAFIR (turn 703): MIDDLE WAY (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  19 ZUWAYZA (turn 704): LORDS INC. (Lord Z, mgr.)
 DM  28 MORYA (turn 354): LORD OF DISCIPLINE (Longshot, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 701): CARDOW HUNTERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  31 CHIMLEVTAL (turn 352): BAD NEWS BEES (Stinger, mgr.)
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): DEATH BY DESIGN (Bubba Ganoosh, mgr.)
 DM  33 NIATOLI ISLAND (turn 694): SEA DOGS (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  35 MURSKA (turn 686): HAPPY FUN TIME (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  43 VEASTIAN (turn 645): THE FAMILY (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  45 STORMCROWE (turn 329): DARQUE FORCES (Master Darque, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): LIFE IMAPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  56 ROCANIS (turn 576): INCONSISTENT FURY (Banthius, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 561): RED DOG GANG (Spot, mgr.)
 DM  61 JURINE (turn 543): SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
 DM  65 DAL SHANG (turn 538): SAND DANCERS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  73 ERINIKA (turn 259): SUPER STARS (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 499): MEDAL OF HONOR (The Anarchist, mgr.)
 DM  75 JADE MOUNTAIN (turn 493): SAND DANCERSS (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 485): SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)
ADM 103 FREE BLADES (turn 602): DIRT DEVILS et al (The Dark One, mgr.)

                                   Recent Graduates
                                  -----------------
 DM   9 ZUKAL (turn 713): BLUE STREAK of BLUE MOON (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  12 RIZTAB (turn 715): DIZZY GILLESPIE of BLUE NOTE (Howlin' Wolf, mgr.)
 DM  13 DULLENS (turn 660): THE BEAKSTER of ARCANE ROYALTY (Destitute Noble, mgr.)
 DM  16 WILLAF (turn 711): DEE NILE of PUNNY AMINALS (Jorja, mgr.)
 DM  29 LAPUR (turn 701): STEEL SHARPENER of METAL MINCERS (Oremaster, mgr.)
                          PLUTONIUM PUNCH of METAL MINCERS (Oremaster, mgr.)
              (turn 700): GRASSFIRE of CARDOW HUNTERS (Jorja, mgr.)
                          MOTHIAS of MID EARTH (Visionist, mgr.)
 DM  32 ARVAT (turn 697): INSIDIOUS of DEATH BY DESIGN (Bubba Ganoosh, mgr.)
 DM  47 NORTH FORK (turn 323): FROSTY of FAST FOOD (Madwand, mgr.)
                   (turn 322): WILHELM SCREAM of OTTODROME TW (Otto X, mgr.)
 DM  50 SNOWBOUND (turn 310): MATH of LIFE IMPACTS (Coach, mgr.)
 DM  60 ARADI (turn 560): FENWRIST of RED DOG GANG (Spot, mgr.)
                          PRIME MINISTER of INGRATE WHITE NORTH (Crip, mgr.)
 DM  74 DAYLA KIV (turn 498): SPIDERPIG of HOMER'S PETS (Floyd, mgr.)
 DM  78 LIN TIRIAN (turn 484): NAKED LUNCH of SHEWISH BUFFET (One Armed Bandit, mgr.)

                                 DUELMASTER'S COLUMN
                             Notes from the arena champ.

     Happy New Year to you all.  Hope all the best for you and yours in the months to
come.  And even good luck on the sands, unless of course if you're matched vs the
Inconsistent Fury.

                         Lincoln Logger

                                      SPY REPORT

     Hail ROCANIS!  Warriors of the arena, prepare to be praised and blamed for your 
deeds.  The SERPENTS' HOLD guild has had a 4-1-0 turn and deserves to be watched in 
the future.  You never know where this kind of thing can lead.  And let's see, KASPAR 
fought GERHART ERVIN and gained 19 points and contributed to MEN OF STEEL's 1-4-0.  
GERHART ERVIN has lost to KASPAR, falling 19 points, while helping make MIDDLE WAY 20 
a 0-5-0 turn.  The attempts to dethrone the Duelmaster have failed, and LINKIN LOGGER 
remains ROCANIS' top warrior for another turn.  Tell me, is nothing sacred?  I have 
heard from unimpeachable sources that The Wanton Troll uses trolls in their stew.  
Talk about gristle!   
     Oriental wise man once say, 'Hiding behind shields prevents proper sun tanning.' 
Inscrutable, but true.   
     The Dark Arena is for those who cannot win, not who cannot lose with grace.  
Dignity in life or death is the warrior's creed.  A farewell moment, if you please, 
THUD! of THEM has been sent to the Dark Arena, and was carried out on his shield.  
MEN OF STEEL has lost DRAKEN-KORIN to the arena in the sky, but they don't seem to be 
worried.  What do you expect from 9-8-3?  INCONSISTENT FURY, with any luck MEN OF 
STEEL will successfully bloodfeud LINKIN LOGGER for killing such a warrior as 
DRAKEN-KORIN.  Have a little decency, will ya?  We'd like to remind certain teams not 
to rob the graves of their enemies.  You know who you are; and it's considered rude.  
     Thought for the day, a new sword shines bright, but the notched sword sings the 
sweetest.  Well, I'm burning daylight here in ROCANIS and I've a long road ahead of 
me.  Happy Trails.  Until the sun next rises and my pen sets to paper-- Alarond the 
Scribe  

DUELMASTER                     W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 LINKIN LOGGER 4272           24   8  2   148       INCONSISTENT FURY (20)

CHALLENGER CHAMPIONS           W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 MOE FROSTTOOTH 4287          17  10  2   106       INCONSISTENT FURY (20)

CHAMPIONS                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 MERVIN OLDES 4326             9  10  1    74       MIDDLE WAY 20 (435)

CHALLENGER ADEPTS              W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 FRANKIE TOO 4305             13   9  0    66       INCONSISTENT FURY (20)
 KASPAR 4285                  11   8  3    66       MEN OF STEEL (131)
 BACKLASH 4323                 9   0  0    64       SERPENTS' HOLD (450)

CHALLENGER ADEPTS              W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 SNAKE BITE 4343               6   3  0    62       SERPENTS' HOLD (450)
 KULGAN 4268                  11  24  2    59       MEN OF STEEL (131)
 HIKA SUGAR 4349               9   3  0    58       INCONSISTENT FURY (20)

ADEPTS                         W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 GASTON IPPS 4306              8  15  0    54       MIDDLE WAY 20 (435)
 KRAIT 4344                    6   3  0    49       SERPENTS' HOLD (450)
-DROXINE 4298                  5   4  0    49       TREXTRAS (449)
 GERHART ERVIN 4309           12   9  0    47       MIDDLE WAY 20 (435)
 PINECONE CHARLY 4358          5   2  0    41       INCONSISTENT FURY (20)

CHALLENGER INITIATES           W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
 FERRIA HOUGH 4345             8   7  1    32       MIDDLE WAY 20 (435)
 JIM DASHER 4319               1   2  0    31       MEN OF STEEL (131)
 RATTLER 4336                  1   3  0    30       SERPENTS' HOLD (450)
 DENNA FEYL 4350               6   8  0    26       MIDDLE WAY 20 (435)

INITIATES                      W   L  K POINTS      TEAM NAME                  
-LANGOLIER 4356                2   0  0    17       THEM (433)
 LOCUST 4376                   1   0  0    13       THEM (433)
 RODENTS 4372                  1   0  0     6       THEM (433)
 ARUTHA 4375                   0   1  0     1       MEN OF STEEL (131)

'-' denotes a warrior who did not fight this turn.

THE DEAD                W  L K TEAM NAME            SLAIN BY              TURN Revenge?
DRAKEN-KORIN 4279       9  8 3 MEN OF STEEL 131     LINKIN LOGGER 4272    577   
BYE 4374                0  1 0 SERPENTS' HOLD 450   TABAR THE KNIFE       577  NONE
THUD! 4269              6  9 0 THEM 433             ROKORI KLEE           577  NONE

                                     PERSONAL ADS

Draken-Korin -- Yulp, it's hard to recover from a chop that severs your Log. --
Linkin Logger.

Rattler -- Tough matchup for you early in a career. -- Pinecone Charley

Rocani Turn Coat -- Maybe turn the coat the other way? -- Moe Frosttooth

Kulgan -- Figured you had that one, but guess you skipped breakfast? -- Frankie Too

Ferria Hough -- My my, you do parry very well. -- Hika Sugar

We're running really short on time here, stuff has come up in the outer world.  So
the personals will be brief (okay, probably brief) and not too personal. -- those who
walk the Middle Way

Backlash -- I noticed!  Ouch. -- Gaston Ipps

Ah, a standby!  Excellent. -- Mervin Oldes

Kaspar -- I thought you were a ghost? -- Gerhart Ervin

Hika Sugar -- I don't even LIKE sweets. -- Ferria Hough

Krait -- Damned snakes. -- Denna Feyl

                                  LAST WEEK'S FIGHTS

THUD! was unbelievably slain by ROKORI KLEE in a 2 minute Dark Arena fight.
BYE was murdered by TABAR THE KNIFE in a 1 minute Dark Arena melee.
LINKIN LOGGER murdered DRAKEN-KORIN in a 1 minute uneven Title fight.
MOE FROSTTOOTH devastated MERVIN OLDES in a popular 1 minute one-sided contest.
GERHART ERVIN was demolished by KASPAR in a 1 minute gruesome mismatched competition.
FRANKIE TOO luckily beat KULGAN in a crowd pleasing 3 minute veteran's struggle.
BACKLASH defeated GASTON IPPS in a action packed 3 minute melee.
HIKA SUGAR won victory over JIM DASHER in a action packed 1 minute duel.
SNAKE BITE overpowered AMBITIOUS GUARD in a 1 minute uneven duel.
KRAIT overpowered RIRORNI THUG in a 1 minute one-sided fight.
FERRIA HOUGH was overcome by PINECONE CHARLY in a popular 3 minute brutal bout.
DENNA FEYL was demolished by RATTLER in a 4 minute mismatched competition.
RODENTS slimly won victory over ARUTHA in a 2 minute novice's battle.
LOCUST devastated RIRORNI ARCHER in a 1 minute mismatched bout.

                                    BATTLE REPORT

             MOST POPULAR                        RECORD DURING THE LAST 10 TURNS     
|FIGHTING STYLE               FIGHTS        FIGHTING STYLE     W -   L -  K   PERCENT|
|SLASHING ATTACK                  5         TOTAL PARRY       16 -   8 -  0      67  |
|LUNGING ATTACK                   4         SLASHING ATTACK   14 -   7 -  2      67  |
|AIMED BLOW                       3         WALL OF STEEL      7 -   6 -  0      54  |
|TOTAL PARRY                      3         AIMED BLOW        17 -  15 -  1      53  |
|BASHING ATTACK                   3         LUNGING ATTACK    15 -  17 -  0      47  |
|PARRY-LUNGE                      2         BASHING ATTACK    14 -  16 -  0      47  |
|PARRY-RIPOSTE                    1         PARRY-LUNGE        6 -   7 -  0      46  |
|STRIKING ATTACK                  1         PARRY-RIPOSTE      1 -   3 -  0      25  |
|WALL OF STEEL                    1         STRIKING ATTACK    1 -   5 -  0      17  |
|PARRY-STRIKE                     0         PARRY-STRIKE       0 -   0 -  0       0  |

Turn 577 was great if you     Not so great if you used      The fighting styles of the
used the fighting styles:     the fighting styles:          top eleven warriors are:

PARRY-RIPOSTE      1 -  0     BASHING ATTACK     1 -  2         3  LUNGING ATTACK 
AIMED BLOW         2 -  1     PARRY-STRIKE       0 -  0         2  SLASHING ATTACK
TOTAL PARRY        2 -  1     STRIKING ATTACK    0 -  1         2  AIMED BLOW     
SLASHING ATTACK    3 -  2     WALL OF STEEL      0 -  1         2  TOTAL PARRY    
PARRY-LUNGE        1 -  1                                       1  WALL OF STEEL  
LUNGING ATTACK     2 -  2                                       1  BASHING ATTACK 

                               TOP WARRIOR OF EACH STYLE

FIGHTING STYLE   WARRIOR                     W   L  K PNTS TEAM NAME                  
SLASHING ATTACK  LINKIN LOGGER 4272         24   8  2  148 INCONSISTENT FURY (20)
AIMED BLOW       MOE FROSTTOOTH 4287        17  10  2  106 INCONSISTENT FURY (20)
TOTAL PARRY      FRANKIE TOO 4305           13   9  0   66 INCONSISTENT FURY (20)
LUNGING ATTACK   SNAKE BITE 4343             6   3  0   62 SERPENTS' HOLD (450)
BASHING ATTACK   GERHART ERVIN 4309         12   9  0   47 MIDDLE WAY 20 (435)
Note: Warriors have a winning record and are an Adept or Above.

The overall popularity leader is MOE FROSTTOOTH 4287.  The most popular warrior this 
turn was KULGAN 4268.  The ten other most popular fighters were GASTON IPPS 4306, 
PINECONE CHARLY 4358, THUD! 4269, MOE FROSTTOOTH 4287, BACKLASH 4323, RATTLER 4336, 
KASPAR 4285, JIM DASHER 4319, SNAKE BITE 4343, and KRAIT 4344.

The least popular fighter this week was FERRIA HOUGH 4345.  The other ten least 
popular fighters were GERHART ERVIN 4309, DRAKEN-KORIN 4279, BYE 4374, LOCUST 4376, 
MERVIN OLDES 4326, HIKA SUGAR 4349, FRANKIE TOO 4305, LINKIN LOGGER 4272, ARUTHA 
4375, and RODENTS 4372.

The following warriors will travel to AD after next turn:

MOE FROSTTOOTH (56-4287) INCONSISTENT FURY (20)

                           AVOIDS, BLOODFEUDS, & CHALLENGES

                                       by Pagan

     Ever wonder how the whole challenge/avoid thing works?
     Who you fight depends on exactly how it works.  We will never know exactly how it 
works unless we can get a look at the coding for the program, but this is how I think 
it works:

The Situation:
     The system allows a warrior to make two separate challenges and two distinct 
avoids.
     Avoids are distinct in that they MUST indicate a specific team to be avoided, so 
a "double avoid" indicates a single team twice, which by default means you are 
avoiding one team.  In this case, the second avoid is a duplicate and therefore a 
waste of an avoid.
     Challenges are to specific warriors.  You have a first challenge, and then you 
have a second challenge.

The Process:
     First the computer removes all Dark Arena challengers from the list of available 
warriors.
     Second, the computer checks for WHO fights WHO by going though all TVs and 
bloodfeuds, which are 100% sure to go through except in four instances:
     1. the warrior challenged does not fight,
     2. the warrior challenged is also making a bloodfeud or TV challenge and that 
challenge has already been assigned,
     3. the warrior has already been assigned to a Dark Arena fight,
     4. that warrior has declared your team to be one of his warrior's avoids, 
reducing your challenge to 50%.
     Third, the computer assesses all the regular first-challenge warriors and assigns 
fights.  All other challenges are at 100% chance of success except in a few instances:  
warrior challenged is going to the DA, warrior challenged is involved in a previously 
assigned challenge, warrior challenged is not running this turn, or warrior challenged 
has avoided your team at 50% chance to avoid.
     Fourth, the computer assesses and assigns all secondary challenges of warriors 
not so far assigned for bloodfeuds and TVs.
     Fifth, the computer assesses and assigns all the regular second challenges.
     Sixth, the computer assigns random matchups in each available class starting with 
the highest class first.
     Seventh, the computer finds the remaining warriors that have successfully avoided 
all first and second challenges and/or who also did not get randomly assigned, AND for 
whom no more available warriors remain in their class for random pairing.  All of 
these warriors get RSI-generated warriors to fight based on their class.
     So, if I'm right and avoids reduce the chance for a challenge to 50%, then:
     In the absence of an avoid
          single challenge = 100% success
          double challenge = 100% success, then an additional 100% success
     Where an avoid is involved
          single challenge vs avoid = 50% success
          double challenge vs avoid = 75% (chance to avoid is 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25; 1 - 
0.25 = 75% chance to succeed

     Bloodfeuds and TVs may increase the percentage chance of success above 100%, or 
they may not.  I feel that their increased ability to get through is based solely on 
the way the computer assigns challenges.  They are first, so they are most likely to 
go through.  The 100% chance for a challenge to succeed is 100% if it's a TV bloodfeud 
and you are the first one to get assigned a fight that day because you are also the 
Duelmaster.  But after that the chances start to diminish rapidly.
     The run-through for second challenges theoretically means your challenge should 
be 100% but it's not the case if you are the LAST guy the computer goes to for finding 
challenges.
     If you don't double challenge, you significantly lower your chance to get your 
challenge through.  The second challenge is not equal to the first challenge.

Pagan