AD

Date   : 01/15/2013    Duedate: 01/28/2013

STORM ROCK ARENA

DM 107    TURN 39

RANK TEAMS                 W    L   K    %  RANK TEAMS                 W    L   K    % 
  1 COLOR ME SUA 42/365  223  136   2 62.1      DRAGONBANE GUILD 81/334
    CENTER FOR OLDS 18/364                    4 MID EARTH 29/316      55   68   0 44.7
  2 DARQUE AGES 81/335    78   62   2 55.7      YAMA BUSHI 30/317
    DARQUE FORCES 31/318                        CLAN LONGBEARD 81/374
    DARQUE FORCES 45/348                      5 END 13/298            54  102   1 34.6
    IMPROVED ILLUSION 59/349                    SHEPHERDS 18/359
  3 VIKINGS 10/355        52   56   1 48.1      FOUND IN THE SAND 32/360
    SENTINELS 7/354                             GOT IT FOR CHRISTMAS 65/361
    NOMADIC TRIBE 21/310

                             REPORT FROM WITHIN THE TOWER

     Debby Tonte can't believe the violence here.  Well, the golem can't, anyway.
You have to wonder about whoever set up that comment.  This is a gladiatorial arena.
Violence is what we do.
     And now, a few words ABOUT our violence.  Biggest point gain, Obrojobo, 21.
Biggest loss, Gad, 7.  Different fights.
     The golem thinks that Mid Earth was most avoided by Nomadic Tribe.  In fact,
nobody was avoided, and nobody did it.
     In theory, Moist Towelette got the most challenges.  Of course, Moist fought on
a random match, so you have to wonder about that, too.

     I note that all ten styles are represented here (don't you wish we had an
eleventh?).  Total parries lead in numbers, there being four of them.  Parry strikers
are least numerous, only one.  The rest... three and two, variously distributed.  We
aren't exactly an overwhelming crowd here.  I make it twenty-four active warriors.
I've seen advanced arenas with fewer.
     We had thirteen fights, one challenge, two standbys.  Twenty-four active, as
noted above.

     CAJETAN (7-6036) (19-19-1,65) of SENTINELS fought JELLO KNUCKLES (42-4554) (39-
30-0,85) of COLOR ME SUAVE.  CAJETAN was overpowered by JELLO KNUCKLES in a popular 6
minute mismatched conflict.  It's very hard to beat up on jello.  It just squooshes
out of the way and then flows back.
     ANZAHANZEK (7-6204) (16-12-0,34) of SENTINELS fought CAPTURED PIRATE KING (107-
2) (0-0-0,30) of Flash-Frozen Standbys.  ANZAHANZEK handily defeated CAPTURED PIRATE
KING in a 1 minute one-sided contest.  Anzahanzek is our token parry-striker, and got
ten points for this win.  I'm not sure why.
     VIRGINIA, NO SANTA (65-6623) (29-39-1,124) of GOT IT FOR CHRISTMAS fought 1977
AMC MATADOR (42-4116) (56-41-0,132) of COLOR ME SUAVE.  VIRGINIA, NO SANTA was
subdued by 1977 AMC MATADOR in a crowd pleasing 1 minute match.  No car keys for
Virginia.
     HEINRIK (81-1257) (40-41-1,202) of CLAN LONGBEARD fought GOJIRO (107-31) (0-0-
0,220) of Flash-Frozen Standbys.  HEINRIK overpowered GOJIRO in a popular 2 minute
gory uneven match.  Good work, except that now there are a lot of chips of bloody ice
lying around to be cleaned up.
     AZAGHAL (81-1223) (31-29-1,210) of DRAGONBANE GUILD fought PINCH BLISTER (18-
9859) (38-43-0,168) of CENTER FOR OLDS.  AZAGHAL savagely defeated PINCH BLISTER in
an action packed 4 minute gory duel.  Azaghal is our top parry-lunger and got only
two points for this win.  Shoulda done it faster, Az.
     EVANGELION (59-2340) (37-29-1,198) of IMPROVED ILLUSION fought BEDDER (18-10043)
(28-25-2,178) of CENTER FOR OLDS.  EVANGELION won victory over BEDDER in an action
packed 5 minute duel.  No surprise, given the different standings here.  Evangelion
is the top ripper and gained a mere five points for the win.  Possibly because Bedder
resisted so intensely.  Bedder, by compensation, is the most popular warrior today.

     THE HYPHEN-DASH (42-4499) (35-23-1,194) of COLOR ME SUAVE fought LHISSON (29-
5456) (42-39-0,173) of MID EARTH.  THE HYPHEN-DASH defeated LHISSON in an action
packed 1 minute melee.  I don't know what it is with the steward who sets up the
random matches.  I'm fairly sure he could've set up evener ones.  Or maybe the
limited number of teams here is the problem, since a warrior can't fight one of his
teammates--though I'm sure some would like to.
     ALMOST PRETTY (42-4496) (58-37-0,193) of COLOR ME SUAVE fought SHINY PENNY (32-
3789) (72-126-2,185) of FOUND IN THE SAND.  ALMOST PRETTY devastated SHINY PENNY in a
crowd pleasing 1 minute mismatched match.  Ah, a battle of titans!  Almost is the
leading wall of steel, gaining 9 points for the victory here.  I'm pulling the point
gain off the stylemaster entries, if you aren't a stylemaster, sorry, but I can't go
through the whole listing.  Shiny is the high-ranked basher and dropped two points
for the loss.  BUT Shiny Penny is the overall popularity leader.  So there.
     OBROJOBO (7-5869) (32-26-1,204) of SENTINELS fought RAGGEDY ANN (45-4148) (50-
22-0,196) of DARQUE FORCES.  OBROJOBO viciously subdued RAGGEDY ANN in an action
packed 2 minute gory brawl.  Remember, Obro got the biggest point rise here at
twenty-one!  Raggedy is the leading total parry and dropped one point for this loss.
     MOIST TOWELETTE (42-4430) (74-44-4,234) of COLOR ME SUAVE fought JOSH (18-9109)
(28-30-0,185) of SHEPHERDS.  MOIST TOWELETTE devastated JOSH in an exciting 1 minute
one-sided fight.  According to the golem, meaning the scribes in the Commission
office, Moist is the most challenged warrior today.  Ha!  However, Moist IS the high-
ranked striker, and went seven points higher for the win.  Josh is the cream of the
aimed blows today and gained two points for the loss.  Josh is also the least popular
fighter.
     FAN ZHEN (81-1288) (32-25-2,216) of DARQUE AGES fought RINDEL (29-5346) (41-38-
0,195) of MID EARTH.  FAN ZHEN overpowered RINDEL in a 1 minute mismatched duel.  Fan
Zhen, the foremost slasher, gained eleven points for the win.

THE challenge:
     WALLI WEEBLE (21-6935) (38-29-0,182) of NOMADIC TRIBE challenged GAD (18-9239)
(37-42-1,197) of SHEPHERDS.  Up 15.  WALLI WEEBLE viciously subdued GAD in a crowd
pleasing 11 minute Challenge fight.  Tcha.  Gad dropped seven points for this tedious
loss, the biggest reported drop today.

For the title:
     FROO-FROO (18-9589) (65-35-4,278) of CENTER FOR OLDS fought THE BRIDE (45-4180)
(41-24-2,226) of DARQUE FORCES.  FROO-FROO was subdued by THE BRIDE in an exciting 1
minute Title melee.  Well, there's an upset for us!  The Bride, top lunger, gained
twenty-three points along with the title.  Congratulations.

                                       Larkin

CHAMPION OF THE HORN           W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 THE BRIDE 45-4180            42  24  2  249  DARQUE FORCES (348)        STORMCROWE

GRAND CHALLENGER CHAMPIONS     W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 MOIST TOWELETTE 42-4430      75  44  4  241  COLOR ME SUAVE (365)       RODEKI
 FAN ZHEN 81-1288             33  25  2  227  DARQUE AGES (335)          SHADOWSPIRE
 OBROJOBO 7-5869              33  26  1  225  SENTINELS (354)            BONSUR
 HEINRIK 81-1257              41  41  1  215  CLAN LONGBEARD (374)       SHADOWSPIRE
 AZAGHAL 81-1223              32  29  1  212  DRAGONBANE GUILD (334)     SHADOWSPIRE

GRAND CHAMPIONS                W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 EVANGELION 59-2340           38  29  1  203  IMPROVED ILLUSION (349)    ILLIS
 ALMOST PRETTY 42-4496        59  37     202  COLOR ME SUAVE (365)       RODEKI
 FROO-FROO 18-9589            65  36  4  200  CENTER FOR OLDS (364)      TALCAMA
 THE HYPHEN-DASH 42-4499      36  23  1  197  COLOR ME SUAVE (365)       RODEKI
-LORD EXETER 81-932           34  22  1  197  DRAGONBANE GUILD (334)     SHADOWSPIRE

GRAND CHAMPIONS                W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 RAGGEDY ANN 45-4148          50  23     195  DARQUE FORCES (348)        STORMCROWE
 WALLI WEEBLE 21-6935         39  29     195  NOMADIC TRIBE (310)        SUNSET
 GAD 18-9239                  37  43  1  190  SHEPHERDS (359)            TALCAMA
 RINDEL 29-5346               41  39     188  MID EARTH (316)            LAPUR
 JOSH 18-9109                 28  31     187  SHEPHERDS (359)            TALCAMA
 SHINY PENNY 32-3789          72 127  2  183  FOUND IN THE SAND (360)    ARVAT

GRAND CHALLENGER ADEPTS        W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 BEDDER 18-10043              28  26  2  180  CENTER FOR OLDS (364)      TALCAMA
 LHISSON 29-5456              42  40     176  MID EARTH (316)            LAPUR
 PINCH BLISTER 18-9859        38  44     173  CENTER FOR OLDS (364)      TALCAMA

GRAND ADEPTS                   W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 1977 AMC MATADOR 42-4116     57  41     136  COLOR ME SUAVE (365)       RODEKI
 VIRGINIA, NO SANTA 65-6623   29  40  1  126  GOT IT FOR CHRISTMAS (361) DAL SHANG

GRAND CHALLENGER INITIATES     W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 JELLO KNUCKLES 42-4554       40  30      93  COLOR ME SUAVE (365)       RODEKI

GRAND INITIATES                W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 CAJETAN 7-6036               19  20  1   66  SENTINELS (354)            BONSUR
 ANZAHANZEK 7-6204            17  12      44  SENTINELS (354)            BONSUR

'-' denotes a warrior who did not fight this turn.

THE DEAD                   W   L  K TEAM NAME              SLAIN BY                  TURN

                               PERSONAL CORRESPONDENCE

     Hot Flash!  The Face-to-Face Tourney will be in the 18th, 19th, and 20th of this
     month.  Get your strategies in by the 17th, please and thank you.

Moist Towelette -- Keep those skills coming.  You're my new best friend since Four of
Spades was banished to DM 100.  Any chance he'll be back, soon? -- Gad

Obrojobo -- Stealth man, you're mean. -- Josh

Rindel -- And here I thought I was making progress and you go and embarrass me. --
Shiny Penny

And a Merry Christmas to the commission, too.  (losing to an NPC, the shame) --
Virginia

                                  LAST WEEK'S FIGHTS

WALLI WEEBLE viciously subdued GAD in a crowd pleasing 11 minute Challenge fight.
FROO-FROO was subdued by THE BRIDE in a exciting 1 minute Title melee.
FAN ZHEN overpowered RINDEL in a 1 minute mismatched duel.
MOIST TOWELETTE devastated JOSH in a exciting 1 minute one-sided fight.
OBROJOBO viciously subdued RAGGEDY ANN in a action packed 2 minute gory brawl.
ALMOST PRETTY devastated SHINY PENNY in a crowd pleasing 1 minute mismatched match.
THE HYPHEN-DASH defeated LHISSON in a action packed 1 minute melee.
EVANGELION won victory over BEDDER in a action packed 5 minute duel.
AZAGHAL savagely defeated PINCH BLISTER in a action packed 4 minute gory duel.
HEINRIK overpowered GOJIRO in a popular 2 minute gory uneven match.
VIRGINIA, NO SANTA was subdued by 1977 AMC MATADOR in a crowd pleasing 1 minute match.
ANZAHANZEK handily defeated CAPTURED PIRATE KING in a 1 minute one-sided contest.
CAJETAN was overpowered by JELLO KNUCKLES in a popular 6 minute mismatched conflict.

                                    BATTLE REPORT

             MOST POPULAR                        RECORD DURING THE LAST 10 TURNS     
|FIGHTING STYLE               FIGHTS        FIGHTING STYLE     W -   L -  K   PERCENT|
|TOTAL PARRY                      4         WALL OF STEEL     15 -   5 -  0      75  |
|LUNGING ATTACK                   3         SLASHING ATTACK   18 -  12 -  0      60  |
|SLASHING ATTACK                  3         STRIKING ATTACK   12 -  11 -  0      52  |
|PARRY-RIPOSTE                    3         PARRY-RIPOSTE     11 -  11 -  0      50  |
|WALL OF STEEL                    2         AIMED BLOW        10 -  10 -  0      50  |
|PARRY-LUNGE                      2         LUNGING ATTACK    18 -  18 -  1      50  |
|STRIKING ATTACK                  2         TOTAL PARRY       17 -  22 -  0      44  |
|AIMED BLOW                       2         BASHING ATTACK    11 -  15 -  0      42  |
|BASHING ATTACK                   2         PARRY-LUNGE        6 -  11 -  1      35  |
|PARRY-STRIKE                     1         PARRY-STRIKE       1 -   3 -  0      25  |

Turn  39 was great if you     Not so great if you used      The fighting styles of the
used the fighting styles:     the fighting styles:          top eleven warriors are:

PARRY-STRIKE       1 -  0     PARRY-RIPOSTE      1 -  2         3  LUNGING ATTACK 
LUNGING ATTACK     3 -  0     AIMED BLOW         0 -  2         3  SLASHING ATTACK
WALL OF STEEL      2 -  0     BASHING ATTACK     0 -  2         2  STRIKING ATTACK
SLASHING ATTACK    2 -  1                                       1  PARRY-LUNGE    
PARRY-LUNGE        1 -  1                                       1  PARRY-RIPOSTE  
STRIKING ATTACK    1 -  1                                       1  WALL OF STEEL  
TOTAL PARRY        2 -  2     

                               TOP WARRIOR OF EACH STYLE

FIGHTING STYLE   WARRIOR                     W   L  K PNTS TEAM NAME                  
LUNGING ATTACK   THE BRIDE 45-4180          42  24  2  249 DARQUE FORCES (348)
STRIKING ATTACK  MOIST TOWELETTE 42-4430    75  44  4  241 COLOR ME SUAVE (365)
SLASHING ATTACK  FAN ZHEN 81-1288           33  25  2  227 DARQUE AGES (335)
PARRY-LUNGE      AZAGHAL 81-1223            32  29  1  212 DRAGONBANE GUILD (334)
PARRY-RIPOSTE    EVANGELION 59-2340         38  29  1  203 IMPROVED ILLUSION (349)
WALL OF STEEL    ALMOST PRETTY 42-4496      59  37  0  202 COLOR ME SUAVE (365)
TOTAL PARRY      RAGGEDY ANN 45-4148        50  23  0  195 DARQUE FORCES (348)
AIMED BLOW       JOSH 18-9109               28  31  0  187 SHEPHERDS (359)
BASHING ATTACK   SHINY PENNY 32-3789        72 127  2  183 FOUND IN THE SAND (360)
PARRY-STRIKE     ANZAHANZEK 7-6204          17  12  0   44 SENTINELS (354)

The overall popularity leader is SHINY PENNY 32-3789.  The most popular warrior this 
turn was BEDDER 18-10043.  The ten other most popular fighters were GAD 18-9239, 
AZAGHAL 81-1223, OBROJOBO 7-5869, HEINRIK 81-1257, JELLO KNUCKLES 42-4554, THE BRIDE 
45-4180, EVANGELION 59-2340, CAJETAN 7-6036, THE HYPHEN-DASH 42-4499, and PINCH 
BLISTER 18-9859.

The least popular fighter this week was JOSH 18-9109.  The other ten least popular 
fighters were WALLI WEEBLE 21-6935, LHISSON 29-5456, SHINY PENNY 32-3789, RINDEL 
29-5346, FAN ZHEN 81-1288, FROO-FROO 18-9589, 1977 AMC MATADOR 42-4116, ALMOST PRETTY 
42-4496, RAGGEDY ANN 45-4148, and ANZAHANZEK 7-6204.

Arena (Number)       W  L K  Arena (Number)       W  L K  Arena (Number)       W  L K  
BONSUR(7)            2  1 0  ARVAT(32)            0  1 0  ILLIS(59)            1  0 0  
TALCAMA(18)          0  5 0  RODEKI(42)           5  0 0  DAL SHANG(65)        0  1 0  
SUNSET(21)           1  0 0  STORMCROWE(45)       1  1 0  SHADOWSPIRE(81)      3  0 0  
LAPUR(29)            0  2 0  

TOP WARRIOR OF EACH ARENA     W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 OBROJOBO 7-5869             33  26  1  225  SENTINELS (354)            BONSUR
 FROO-FROO 18-9589           65  36  4  200  CENTER FOR OLDS (364)      TALCAMA
 WALLI WEEBLE 21-6935        39  29  0  195  NOMADIC TRIBE (310)        SUNSET
 RINDEL 29-5346              41  39  0  188  MID EARTH (316)            LAPUR
 SHINY PENNY 32-3789         72 127  2  183  FOUND IN THE SAND (360)    ARVAT

TOP WARRIOR OF EACH ARENA     W   L  K PNTS  TEAM NAME                  CITY           
 MOIST TOWELETTE 42-4430     75  44  4  241  COLOR ME SUAVE (365)       RODEKI
 THE BRIDE 45-4180           42  24  2  249  DARQUE FORCES (348)        STORMCROWE
 EVANGELION 59-2340          38  29  1  203  IMPROVED ILLUSION (349)    ILLIS
 VIRGINIA, NO SANTA 65-6623  29  40  1  126  GOT IT FOR CHRISTMAS (361) DAL SHANG
 FAN ZHEN 81-1288            33  25  2  227  DARQUE AGES (335)          SHADOWSPIRE

                           AVOIDS, BLOODFEUDS, & CHALLENGES

                                       by Pagan

     Ever wonder how the whole challenge/avoid thing works?
     Who you fight depends on exactly how it works.  We will never know exactly how it 
works unless we can get a look at the coding for the program, but this is how I think 
it works:

The Situation:
     The system allows a warrior to make two separate challenges and two distinct 
avoids.
     Avoids are distinct in that they MUST indicate a specific team to be avoided, so 
a "double avoid" indicates a single team twice, which by default means you are 
avoiding one team.  In this case, the second avoid is a duplicate and therefore a 
waste of an avoid.
     Challenges are to specific warriors.  You have a first challenge, and then you 
have a second challenge.

The Process:
     First the computer removes all Dark Arena challengers from the list of available 
warriors.
     Second, the computer checks for WHO fights WHO by going though all TVs and 
bloodfeuds, which are 100% sure to go through except in four instances:
     1. the warrior challenged does not fight,
     2. the warrior challenged is also making a bloodfeud or TV challenge and that 
challenge has already been assigned,
     3. the warrior has already been assigned to a Dark Arena fight,
     4. that warrior has declared your team to be one of his warrior's avoids, 
reducing your challenge to 50%.
     Third, the computer assesses all the regular first-challenge warriors and assigns 
fights.  All other challenges are at 100% chance of success except in a few instances:  
warrior challenged is going to the DA, warrior challenged is involved in a previously 
assigned challenge, warrior challenged is not running this turn, or warrior challenged 
has avoided your team at 50% chance to avoid.
     Fourth, the computer assesses and assigns all secondary challenges of warriors 
not so far assigned for bloodfeuds and TVs.
     Fifth, the computer assesses and assigns all the regular second challenges.
     Sixth, the computer assigns random matchups in each available class starting with 
the highest class first.
     Seventh, the computer finds the remaining warriors that have successfully avoided 
all first and second challenges and/or who also did not get randomly assigned, AND for 
whom no more available warriors remain in their class for random pairing.  All of 
these warriors get RSI-generated warriors to fight based on their class.
     So, if I'm right and avoids reduce the chance for a challenge to 50%, then:
     In the absence of an avoid
          single challenge = 100% success
          double challenge = 100% success, then an additional 100% success
     Where an avoid is involved
          single challenge vs avoid = 50% success
          double challenge vs avoid = 75% (chance to avoid is 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25; 1 - 
0.25 = 75% chance to succeed

     Bloodfeuds and TVs may increase the percentage chance of success above 100%, or 
they may not.  I feel that their increased ability to get through is based solely on 
the way the computer assigns challenges.  They are first, so they are most likely to 
go through.  The 100% chance for a challenge to succeed is 100% if it's a TV bloodfeud 
and you are the first one to get assigned a fight that day because you are also the 
Duelmaster.  But after that the chances start to diminish rapidly.
     The run-through for second challenges theoretically means your challenge should 
be 100% but it's not the case if you are the LAST guy the computer goes to for finding 
challenges.
     If you don't double challenge, you significantly lower your chance to get your 
challenge through.  The second challenge is not equal to the first challenge.

Pagan